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CHANGES IN THE PATTERNS OF POVERTY DURATION IN GERMANY, 1992-2009

机译:1992-2009年德国贫困持续时间格局的变化

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摘要

Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, this study explores how the duration of poverty and its determinants evolved in Germany between the early 1990s and the late 2000s. To do this, we split the overall period of interest into a set of six-year long rolling windows and use them to document changes in the incidence and length of poverty episodes over time. A joint modeling of poverty and non-poverty spells controlling for unobserved heterogeneity is applied within each window in order to uncover how poverty experiences of individuals with different socio-economic characteristics have evolved over time. The results indicate that poverty has become more persistent and recurrent in Germany since the beginning of the 1990s. Individuals living in households whose head is a citizen from a European Union country, or has general or vocational training, partially improved their situation over time whereas those over 55 years old, households with a disabled or uneducated head, and single parent households became more prone to poverty.
机译:利用德国社会经济专家组的数据,本研究探讨了1990年代初至2000年代后期德国的贫困持续时间及其决定因素。为此,我们将整个关注期划分为一组六年的滚动窗口,并使用它们记录随着时间​​推移贫困事件的发生率和持续时间的变化。在每个窗口中都应用了控制未观察到的异质性的贫困和非贫困咒语的联合模型,以揭示具有不同社会经济特征的个人的贫困经历如何随着时间演变。结果表明,自1990年代初以来,贫困在德国变得更加持久和普遍。生活在以欧盟国家公民为首的家庭中,或接受过一般或职业培训的家庭,随着时间的推移,他们的处境得到了部分改善,而55岁以上的家庭,头部残疾或未受教育的家庭以及单亲家庭变得更加容易贫穷。

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