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首页> 外文期刊>Review of Income and Wealth >DO OFFICIAL STATISTICS EXAGGERATE CHINAS GDP GROWTH? A REPLY TO CARSTEN HOLZ
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DO OFFICIAL STATISTICS EXAGGERATE CHINAS GDP GROWTH? A REPLY TO CARSTEN HOLZ

机译:官方统计是否会加剧中国的GDP增长?卡斯滕·霍尔兹的回覆

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摘要

Holz thinks China's official national accounts are free of systematic bias, and that efforts to increase their international comparability are reprehensible. They should not be challenged because "they are based on the efforts of tens of thousands of statistics personnel." His Mam'chaean view is that official statistics are good, and downward adjustments are evil. He targets my Chinese Economic Performance in the Long Run (1998a). Other sinners are Harry Wu who dared to adjust the official series for industrial production and Alan Heston for using my estimates in Penn World Tables. Xu Xianchun, the chief official statistician, is reprimanded for not refuting me. My book was a quantitative history of China since the Sung dynasty. Holz has a narrower perspective. His interest is directed entirely to growth performance since 1978. He is not concerned with earlier growth and makes only passing reference to measurement of GDP levels.
机译:霍尔茨认为,中国的官方国民账户没有系统性偏见,为提高其国际可比性所做的努力是应受谴责的。他们不应受到挑战,因为“他们是基于成千上万的统计人员的努力”。他在Mam'chaean的观点是,官方统计数字不错,向下调整是有害的。从长远来看,他的目标是我的中国经济表现(1998a)。其他罪人是哈里·吴(Harry Wu),他敢于调整工业生产的正式系列;艾伦·赫斯顿(Alan Heston),用我在Penn World Tables中的估算值。首席统计官徐宪春因没有反驳我而受到谴责。我的书是自宋朝以来中国的定量历史。霍尔茨的观点更狭窄。自1978年以来,他的兴趣完全针对增长绩效。他并不关心较早的增长,而只是参考了GDP水平的衡量。

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