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REGIONAL ECONOMIC INTEGRATION AND ITS IMPACTS ON GROWTH, POVERTY, AND INCOME DISTRIBUTION: THE CASE OF INDONESIA

机译:区域经济一体化及其对增长,贫困和收入分配的影响:以印度尼西亚为例

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摘要

Indonesia continually tries to open its economy through free trade areas (FTAs) on bilateral, regional, and multilateral bases. This paper discusses the impacts of FTAs on the Indonesian economy, particularly for economic growth, poverty, and income distribution. By using a Global Computable General Equilibrium (GCGE) model, we conducted the simulation analysis by setting eighteen scenarios for the ongoing and potential FTAs of different frameworks. Indonesia is found to benefit from joining in FTAs, except for the FTA with India. It is also implied that FTAs increase rural household income at higher rates than they increase urban household income. Moreover, FTAs' impacts are more favorable for unskilled workers than for skilled ones, and also for relatively poor households more than for rich households, both in urban and rural areas. In brief, FTAs provide Indonesia with income redistribution effects.
机译:印度尼西亚不断努力通过双边,区域和多边基础上的自由贸易区(FTA)开放经济。本文讨论了自由贸易协定对印尼经济的影响,特别是对经济增长,贫困和收入分配的影响。通过使用全球可计算一般均衡(GCGE)模型,我们通过为不同框架正在进行的和潜在的FTA设置了18个方案来进行了仿真分析。除了与印度的自由贸易协定外,印尼也从加入自由贸易协定中受益。这也暗示自由贸易协定增加农村家庭收入的速度要高于增加城市家庭收入的速度。此外,在城市和农村地区,自由贸易协定对非技术工人的影响比对熟练工人的影响更大,对相对贫困家庭的影响也要大于对富裕家庭的影响。简而言之,自由贸易协定为印度尼西亚带来了收入再分配效应。

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