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Development of Economic Consequence Methodology for Process Risk Analysis

机译：用于过程风险分析的经济后果方法的发展

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摘要

A comprehensive methodology for economic consequence analysis with appropriate models for risk analysis of process systems is proposed. This methodology uses loss functions to relate process deviations in a given scenario to economic losses. It consists of four steps: definition of a scenario, identification of losses, quantification of losses, and integration of losses. In this methodology, the process deviations that contribute to a given accident scenario are identified and mapped to assess potential consequences. Losses are assessed with an appropriate loss function (revised Taguchi, modified inverted normal) for each type of loss. The total loss is quantified by integrating different loss functions. The proposed methodology has been examined on two industrial case studies. Implementation of this new economic consequence methodology in quantitative risk assessment will provide better understanding and quantification of risk. This will improve design, decision making, and risk management strategies.
机译：提出了一种经济后果分析的综合方法，并采用了适当的过程系统风险分析模型。这种方法使用损失函数将给定情况下的过程偏差与经济损失联系起来。它包括四个步骤：场景定义，损失识别，损失量化和损失整合。在这种方法中，识别并映射了导致给定事故场景的过程偏差，以评估潜在后果。针对每种类型的损失，使用适当的损失函数（修订的Taguchi，修改后的反向正常）评估损失。通过整合不同的损失函数来量化总损失。在两个行业案例研究中对提议的方法进行了研究。在量化风险评估中实施这种新的经济后果方法将提供对风险的更好理解和量化。这将改善设计，决策和风险管理策略。

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