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Uncertainty Assessment in the Quantification of Risk Rates of Occupational Accidents

机译：职业事故风险率量化中的不确定性评估

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摘要

Occupational risk rates per hour of exposure have been quantified for 63 occupational accident types for the Dutch working population. Data were obtained from the analysis of more than 9,000 accidents that occurred over a period of six years in the Netherlands and resulted in three types of reportable consequences under Dutch law: (a) fatal injury, (b) permanent injury, and (c) serious recoverable injury requiring at least one day of hospitalization. A Bayesian uncertainty assessment on the value of the risk rates has been performed. Annual risks for each of the 63 occupational accident types have been calculated, including the variability in the annual exposure of the working population to the corresponding hazards. The suitability of three risk measuresindividual risk rates, individual annual risk, and number of accidentsis examined and discussed.
机译：对于荷兰劳动人口，已经确定了63种职业事故类型的每小时接触职业风险率。数据是通过对在过去6年中在荷兰发生的9,000多起事故的分析得出的，这些事故根据荷兰法律导致三种可报告的后果：（a）致命伤害，（b）永久伤害和（c）严重的可恢复伤害，至少需要住院一天。已经对风险率的值进行了贝叶斯不确定性评估。已计算出63种职业事故类型中每种类型的年度风险，包括工作人群每年面对相应危害的可变性。检查和讨论了三种风险度量的适用性：个体风险率，个人年度风险和事故数量。

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