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Prevention, Adaptation, and Threat Denial: Flooding Experiences in the Netherlands

机译：预防，适应和威胁拒绝：荷兰的洪水经验

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摘要

Delta areas such as the Netherlands are more and more at risk of future flooding due to global climate change. Motivating residents living in flood-prone areas to effectively cope with local floods may lead to minimization of material losses and loss of life. The aim of this research was to investigate whether the extent to which residents had been exposed to flooding in the past was a key factor in motivating residents to effectively cope with future flooding. We also focused on the psychological variables that mediated this relationship. We conducted a survey (N = 516) among flood victims and nonvictims. We assessed subjective experiences due to past flooding, affective and cognitive appraisals, and coping responses. Results show that victims reported stronger emotions (negative and positive), and the receipt of more social support due to past flooding than did nonvictims. Moreover, victims worry more about future flooding, perceive themselves as more vulnerable to future flooding, perceive the consequences of future flooding as more severe, and have stronger intentions to take adaptive actions in the future than nonvictims. Structural equation modeling reveals that the latter effect was fully mediated by specific experiences and appraisals. Insights into factors and processes that have the potential to motivate residents to effectively cope with future floods may prove helpful in developing interventions to inform residents how to act effectively in case of an imminent flood.
机译：由于全球气候变化，像荷兰这样的三角洲地区越来越有遭受未来洪灾的危险。鼓励生活在易发生洪灾地区的居民有效应对当地洪灾，可最大程度地减少物质损失和生命损失。这项研究的目的是调查过去居民遭受洪水的程度是否是促使居民有效应对未来洪水的关键因素。我们还关注了介导这种关系的心理变量。我们对洪水受害者和非受害者进行了一项调查（N = 516）。由于过去的洪水，情感和认知评估以及应对方式，我们评估了主观经验。结果表明，受害人报告的情绪（消极和积极的）更强烈，并且由于过去的洪水而遭受的社会支持比未受害人更多。此外，受害人更加担心未来的洪水，认为自己更容易受到未来洪水的影响，认为未来洪水的后果更为严重，并且与非受害人相比，他们在未来采取适应性行动的意愿更强。结构方程模型表明，后者的效果完全由特定的经验和评估介导。洞察可能激发居民有效应对未来洪水的因素和过程，可能有助于制定干预措施，以告知居民在洪水即将来临时如何有效采取行动。

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  • 来源
    《Risk analysis》 |2009年第12期|1759-1778|共20页
  • 作者

    Ruud Zaalberg; Cees Midden; Anneloes Meijnders; Teddy McCalley;

  • 作者单位

    Subdepartment of Human-Technology Interaction, Department of Industrial Engineering and Innovation Sciences, Eindhoven University of Technology, PO Box 513, Eindhoven, The Netherlands;

    Department of Industrial Engineering and Innovation Sciences, Eindhoven University of Technology, Eindhoven, The Netherlands;

    Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands;

    Department of Industrial Engineering and Innovation Sciences, Eindhoven University of Technology, Eindhoven, The Netherlands;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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  • 关键词

    appraisal; coping; emotion; flood experience; SEM;

    机译：评价;应对情感;洪水经验;扫描电镜;

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