From the Editors

Michael Greenberg; Karen Lowrie

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From the Editors

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Yacov Haimes, our engineering area editor, begins the issue with his Perspective article that points out the proliferation of definitions of risk and the confusion created by these definitions. Professor Haimes suggests a definition grounded in systems theory and illustrates it with several examples.rnConsistent with the systems theory theme, seven of the ten research papers in this issue are efforts to understand a complex system through modeling its elements and their interactions with each other and external inputs. For example, noting the recent case of three missing mice that had been infected with the bacterium that causes plague, David Durham and Elizabeth Casman present a mathematical model that considers conditions that would increase the likelihood that the etiologic agent of plague can become established in an urban rat population.

机译：我们的工程领域编辑Yacov Haimes从他的Perspective文章开始，指出了风险定义的泛滥以及这些定义造成的混乱。 Haimes教授提出了一个以系统理论为基础的定义，并用几个实例进行了说明。rn与系统理论主题一致，本期的10篇研究论文中有7篇是通过对复杂系统进行建模以及它们之间的相互作用以及它们之间的相互作用来努力理解的。外部输入。例如，David Durham和Elizabeth Casman注意到最近有三只老鼠被感染造成鼠疫的细菌感染的案例，他提出了一个数学模型，该模型考虑了会增加鼠疫病原体在动物体内被感染的可能性的条件。城市鼠种群。

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《Risk analysis》 |2009年第12期|1645-1646|共2页
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Michael Greenberg; Karen Lowrie;
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