• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>Risk analysis >Terrorist Population Dynamics Model
【24h】

Terrorist Population Dynamics Model

机译：恐怖主义人口动态模型

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

A system that includes a number of terrorist cells is considered. The cells can consist of one or more terrorists. The current number of terrorist cells is further denoted by N(t), where t is a current time counted from any appropriate origin. The objective is to find the evolution of the system in terms of N(t) and some interpretable parameters, such as the initial number of the terrorist cells N_0 = N(0), the cell disabling rate constant λ (or the cell half-life t_(1/2)), and the rate of formation of new cells P. The cost-effectiveness analysis, performed in the framework of the model, reveals that the effectiveness of disabling a terrorist cell is getting worse after 2-3 half-lives of a cell, which shows that if the anti-terrorist actions have not reached their goal during that time, the respective policy should be considered for revision, using the risk assessment consideration. Another important issue raised concerns balancing the efforts related to counterterrorism actions inside the system and the efforts protecting its borders. The respective data analysis is suggested and illustrated using simulated data.
机译：考虑了包括多个恐怖分子牢房的系统。这些牢房可以由一个或多个恐怖分子组成。当前恐怖分子牢房的数量进一步用N（t）表示，其中t是从任何适当来源算起的当前时间。目的是根据N（t）和一些可解释的参数找到系统的演化，例如恐怖细胞的初始数量N_0 = N（0），细胞禁用率常数λ（或细胞半衰期）。寿命t_（1/2）），以及新细胞的形成速率P。在该模型的框架内进行的成本效益分析表明，停用恐怖分子细胞的效率在2-3分之二后会变差-一个单元的寿命，这表明如果在此期间反恐行动未达到其目标，则应考虑风险评估的考虑，考虑修改相应的政策。提出的另一个重要问题涉及在系统内部与反恐行动有关的努力与保护其边界的努力之间取得平衡。建议并使用模拟数据说明了相应的数据分析。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号