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Use of Advances in Technology for Maritime Risk Assessment

机译：利用技术进步进行海事风险评估

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摘要

The maritime industry is moving toward a "goal-setting" risk-based regime. This opens the way to safety engineers to explore and exploit flexible and advanced risk modeling and decision-making approaches in the design and operation processes. In this article, following a brief review of the current status of maritime risk assessment, a design/operation selection framework and a design/operation optimization framework are outlined. A general discussion of control engineering techniques and their application to risk modeling and decision making is given. Four novel risk modeling and decision-making approaches are then outlined with illustrative examples to demonstrate their use. Such approaches may be used as alternatives to facilitate risk modeling and decision making in situations where conventional techniques cannot be appropriately applied. Finally, recommendations on further exploitation of advances in general engineering and technology are suggested with respect to risk modeling and decision making.
机译：海事行业正朝着“目标设定”的，基于风险的机制发展。这为安全工程师在设计和操作流程中探索和利用灵活的高级风险建模和决策方法打开了道路。在本文中，在简要回顾了海事风险评估的现状之后，概述了设计/操作选择框架和设计/操作优化框架。对控制工程技术及其在风险建模和决策中的应用进行了一般性讨论。然后用说明性的例子概述了四种新颖的风险建模和决策方法，以说明其用法。这样的方法可以用作在传统技术不能适当应用的情况下促进风险建模和决策的替代方法。最后，就风险建模和决策提出了关于进一步利用通用工程技术进步的建议。

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