Learning to Manage the Multirisk World

Wiener Jonathan B.

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Learning to Manage the Multirisk World

机译：学习管理Multireisk World

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Risk assessment, perception, and management tend to focus on one risk at a time. But we live in a multirisk world. This essay in honor of the 40th anniversary of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) and the journal Risk Analysis suggests that we can-and have already begun to-strengthen risk analysis and policy outcomes by moving from a focus on the single to the multiple-multiple stressors, multiple impacts, and multiple decisions. This evolution can improve our abilities to assess actual risks, to confront and weigh risk-risk trade-offs and innovate risk-superior moves, and to build learning into adaptive regulation that adjusts over time. Recognizing the multirisk reality can help us understand complex systems, foresee unintended consequences, design better policy solutions, and learn to improve.

机译：风险评估，感知和管理往往会在一次风险上专注于一种风险。但我们生活在一个多黎错世界。本文为纪念风险分析协会（SRA）和期刊风险分析的40周年表示我们可以 - 并且已经开始加强风险分析和政策结果，通过从单一的重点移动到多个 - 多次压力源，多次影响和多项决策。这种进化可以提高我们评估实际风险的能力，面对和权衡风险风险权衡，并创新风险卓越的举措，并建立在随着时间的推移调整的自适应规范中。认识到多距现实可以帮助我们了解复杂的系统，预见意外后果，设计更好的政策解决方案，并学会改进。

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来源
《Risk analysis》 |2020年第s1期|2137-2143|共7页
作者
Wiener Jonathan B.;
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作者单位

Duke Univ Sch Law Nicholas Sch Duke Ctr Risk Durham NC 27706 USA|Duke Univ Sanford Sch Durham NC USA;

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正文语种 eng
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关键词
Adaptive; multirisk; precaution; regulation; risk; risk-risk trade-off; stressor;

机译：自适应;多力量;预防措施;规则;风险;风险风险折衷;压力源;

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Learning to Manage the Multirisk World

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