• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>Risk analysis >Defensive Resource Allocation: The Roles of Forecast Information and Risk Control
【24h】

Defensive Resource Allocation: The Roles of Forecast Information and Risk Control

机译：防御性资源分配：预测信息和风险控制的作用

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

In defensive resource allocation problems, the defender usually collects some forecast information about the attacker. However, the forecast information may be incorrect, which means that there could be a risk associated with the defender using it in their decision making. In this article, we propose a forecast and risk control (FRC) framework to manage the risk in defensive resource allocation with forecast information. In the FRC framework, we introduce a new measure of risk and three types of defense plans: riskless defense plan, risky defense plan, and risk-control defense plan. Several desirable properties based on the concepts of reward and penalty show that the risk-control defense plan is a general form to support defensive resource allocation. Subsequently, we study a specific defensive allocation problem with forecast information and develop an optimization model that considers the forecast information and the defender's risk tolerance level in order to obtain the risk-control defense plan with maximum reward. Furthermore, we provide some numerical analysis to illustrate the effects of forecast information and risk tolerance level on the risk-control defense plan. Finally, a numerical case study is presented to demonstrate the usability of a risk-control defense plan.
机译：在防御性资源分配问题中，后卫通常收集有关攻击者的一些预测信息。然而，预测信息可能是不正确的，这意味着可能存在与在决策制作中使用它的后卫相关的风险。在本文中，我们提出了预测和风险控制（FRC）框架来管理与预测信息的防御资源分配风险。在FRC框架中，我们介绍了一种新的风险标准和三种类型的国防计划：无风险的国防计划，风险防御计划和风险控制防御计划。基于奖励和罚款概念的若干理想性质表明，风险控制防御计划是一种支持防御资源分配的一般形式。随后，我们研究了预测信息的特定防御性分配问题，并开发了一种优化模型，以获得预测信息和后卫的风险容忍度，以便获得最大奖励的风险控制防御计划。此外，我们提供了一些数值分析，以说明预测信息和风险公差水平对风险控制防御计划的影响。最后，提出了一个数值案例研究以证明风险控制防御计划的可用性。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号