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首页> 外文期刊>Science and Culture >FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS FOR THE SOUTH ASIAN REGION AS SIMULATED BY THE REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL HADRM2
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FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS FOR THE SOUTH ASIAN REGION AS SIMULATED BY THE REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL HADRM2

机译：用区域气候模式HADRM2模拟的南亚地区未来气候情景

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摘要

An assessment of possible future climate scenarios associated with greenhouse warming scenario, deduced from the second generation Hadley Centre Regional Climate Model (HadRM2), is presented here for South Asia for the period 2041-2060. This has provided an opportunity to generate future climate scenarios for all the selected hydrological units (SHUs) under an Asia Pacific Network (APN) sponsored South Asia Water Project. The analysis indicates a general decrease in the number of rainy days with increasing intensities across the region. The extremes in both rainfall and temperatures (maximum and minimum) generally show an increase in the greenhouse gas simulations for this region. The future climate simulation shows that SHUs in eastern part of region (Bangladesh, Mahanadi and Subernrekha) which are currently flood prone will have more rainfall but the SHUs in the western part of region (Sabarmati, Mirpur) will receive less precipitation. Therefore, there is a need to promote proper coping mechanisms for appropriate adaptation in future and increasing the resilience of populations and ecosystem.
机译：根据第二代哈德利中心区域气候模型（HadRM2）得出的南亚地区2041-2060年期间与温室效应情景相关的未来气候情景评估。这为在亚太网络（APN）赞助的南亚水项目下为所有选定的水文单位（SHU）生成未来气候情景提供了机会。分析表明，随着整个区域强度的增加，雨天数普遍减少。降雨和温度（最高和最低）的极端值通常表明该地区的温室气体模拟量有所增加。未来的气候模拟表明，目前容易发生洪灾的东部地区（孟加拉国，马哈纳迪和Subernrekha）的SHUs将有更多的降雨，而该地区西部地区（Sabarmati，Mirpur）的SHUs则将减少降雨。因此，有必要促进适当的应对机制，以在未来进行适当的适应并增加人口和生态系统的复原力。

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