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首页> 外文期刊>Science and Culture >PREDICTABILITY OF SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONES OVER NORTH INDIAN OCEAN-STATISTICAL EXPOSITION
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PREDICTABILITY OF SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONES OVER NORTH INDIAN OCEAN-STATISTICAL EXPOSITION

机译：北印度洋海域统计资料上热带气旋的可预测性

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摘要

An attempt is made to discern the predictability of occurrence of Severe Tropical Cyclones (STC) over North Indian Ocean (Bay of Bengal & Arabian Sea). Statistical method is employed for the purpose. It is perceived from the present study that the prediction of occurrence of STC is possible, quite accurately, both over Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea during the period from September to December but it is very difficult to predict the occurrence of STC over Bay of Bengal during the period from May to August. The result also reveals that turning of STC to storms with maximum sustained wind speed of 64 knots or more is very difficult to forecast.
机译：试图辨别北印度洋（孟加拉湾和阿拉伯海）上强热带气旋（STC）发生的可预测性。为此采用统计方法。从本研究中可以看出，在9月至12月期间，在孟加拉湾和阿拉伯海的STC发生的预测非常准确，但很难预测在孟加拉湾的STC发生从五月到八月。结果还表明，很难预测将STC转变为最大持续风速为64节或更高的风暴。

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