CLOSING A GAP IN WEATHER FORECASTING

Alexandra Witze

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CLOSING A GAP IN WEATHER FORECASTING

机译：关闭天气预报的差距

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Weatherforecasters in the Philippines got the tip-off in the second week of November 2019. A precipitation forecast that peered further into the future than usual warned that the islands faced torrential rains more than three weeks away. The meteorologists alerted local and national governments, which sprang into action. Mobile phone and broadcast alerts advised people to prepare to evacuate. By the time the Category 4 Typhoon Kammuri lashed the Philippines with heavy rains in early December, the damage was much less than it could have been. Having so much time to prepare was key, says Andrew Robertson, a climate scientist at Columbia University's International Research Institute for Climate and Society in Palisades, N.Y. "It's a great example of how far we've come" in weather forecasting, he says. "But we still need to go further."

机译：菲律宾的夜间飞行员在2019年11月的第二周获得了The-Off。降水预测进一步进入未来的降水预测，而不是通常警告岛屿面临超过三周的暴雨。气象学家提醒当地和国家政府，争取行动。手机和广播警报建议人们准备撤离。当第4类Typhoon Kammuri在12月初大雨中抨击菲律宾时，损害的损失远低于它。他说，在哥伦比亚大学国际气候和社会研究所的气候科学家安德鲁·罗伯逊说，有这么多时间的准备时间是关键。“这是我们在天气预报中有多远的一个很好的例子。 “但我们仍然需要进一步走。”

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《Science news》 |2020年第4期|22-252729|共6页
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Alexandra Witze;
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1. The July contract moved 1.1% higher to close in the upper $2.50s after trading as high as $2.635 on a supportive weather forecast for hot weather followed by even hotter weather. [J] . NGWs Gas Market Reconnaissance group NGW's Gas Market Reconnaissance . 2016,第Juna13期

机译：7月合约上涨1.1％，收于2.50美元上方，盘中一度上涨至2.635美元，此前天气支持天气炎热，随后天气更加炎热。
2. An updated weather forecast calling for milder weather than previously expected tugged May gas futures about a penny lower Monday, closing in the low $1.70s per million Btu. [J] . NGWs Gas Market Reconnaissance group NGW's Gas Market Reconnaissance . 2020,第Apra13期

机译：一个更新的天气预报呼吁较高的天气比以前预期的天气拖延可能有关便士下旬的石气期货，截至每百万百万美元的低价下跌。
3. October gas jumped 3.2% Tuesday to close in the mid-$2.30s per million Btu pushed higher by a revised weather forecast calling for warmer weather. [J] . NGWs Gas Market Reconnaissance group NGW's Gas Market Reconnaissance . 2019,第Sepa3期

机译：十月天然气周二跃升了3.2％，在百万美元的每百万美元的BTU上近230秒推动了一个修订的天气预报呼吁温暖的天气。
4. BRIDGING THE MIDDLE GROUND BETWEEN MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING AND SEASONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOKS: TWO-WEEK DAY-TO-DAY WEATHER FORECASTS AND MONTHLY CLIMATE OUTLOOKS [C] . Harvey Stern, John Cornall-Reilly, Patrizia McBride American Meteorological Society annual meeting . 2010

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机译：三维风场天气预报的性能评估 - 临近与三维风场空军气象机构天气预报风预报。

CLOSING A GAP IN WEATHER FORECASTING

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