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Potential Loss in GNP and GSP from a Failure to Maintain California's Beaches

机译:未能维护加利福尼亚海滩导致的GNP和GSP潜在损失

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While previous studies have documented the significant economic impact created by California's beaches, the U.S. Office of Management and Budget's (OMB's) current policy limits the Federal interest in California's beaches since they believe visitors who decide not to attend California's beaches will spend their dollars elsewhere in the U.S., creating no net economic or tax impact for the Federal government. This study carefully examines the OMB's assumption and quantifies the net loss to the State of California and to the U.S. from a failure to maintain California's beaches. We analyze the economic loss to California's Gross State Product (GSP) and U.S. Gross National Product (GNP) should California's beaches cease to exist. During July, August and September of 2002, we randomly surveyed 2,370 household groups at nine Southern California beach locations. Our analysis indicates that, with no beaches, California would lose $5.5 billion in Gross State Product (GSP) annually, while the U.S. economy would lose $2.4 billion in Gross National Product (GNP) annually. Unlike economic impact estimates, where substitution is possible, these estimates represent a net loss to the U.S. and State economy. The State of California would lose $509 million in direct tax revenue annually. The Federal Government would lose $299 million in direct tax revenue. The California Department of Boating and Waterways estimates the Federal cost of shore protection for California beaches will be between $12 and $18 million per year, approximately 4-6% of the direct Federal tax loss.
机译:尽管先前的研究已经证明了加利福尼亚海滩带来的重大经济影响,但美国管理和预算办公室(OMB)的现行政策限制了联邦政府对加利福尼亚海滩的兴趣,因为他们相信决定不参加加利福尼亚海滩的游客会在其他地方花钱。美国,不会给联邦政府带来任何经济或税收上的净影响。这项研究仔细检查了OMB的假设,并量化了因未能维护加利福尼亚海滩而给加利福尼亚州和美国造成的净损失。如果加利福尼亚的海滩不再存在,我们将对加利福尼亚州的州生产总值(GSP)和美国国民生产总值(GNP)造成的经济损失进行分析。在2002年7月,8月和9月,我们随机调查了南加州9个海滩地点的2370个家庭群体。我们的分析表明,在没有海滩的情况下,加利福尼亚州每年将损失55亿美元的州生产总值(GSP),而美国经济每年将损失24亿美元的国民生产总值(GNP)。与经济影响估算不同,在可能的替代情况下,这些估算代表了美国和州经济的净损失。加利福尼亚州每年将直接损失5.09亿美元的直接税收。联邦政府将损失直接税收入2.99亿美元。加州划船和水道局估计,联邦每年对加利福尼亚海滩的海岸保护费用在12到1800万美元之间,约占联邦直接税收损失的4-6%。

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