MODELING HOUSEHOLD PARTICIPATION DECISIONS BETWEEN DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL TRIPS BY SEMI-NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSIONS

Yeh Chia-Yu; Liu Kang Ernest

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MODELING HOUSEHOLD PARTICIPATION DECISIONS BETWEEN DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL TRIPS BY SEMI-NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSIONS

机译：通过半非参数回归模拟家庭和国际旅行之间的居民参与决策

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Globalization has caused many countries to experience significant slowdown, thus, tourism development becomes the primary policy to stimulate the economy. Investigating the demand of leisure activities is necessary for the development of a tourism industry with sound policies. This research adopts demographic data to allocate the factors affecting participation decisions and utilizes semi-nonparametric (SNP) regressions to analyze household decision regarding domestic and international trips. By combining a parametric component with a nonparametric component, the SNP method increases the flexibility of participation decision models from relaxing distributional assumptions. The results of this study reveal that decision-making for both domestic and international trips is jointly determined. Various factors, including income, capital gain ratio, age and education, are decisive to trip types, indicating the market segmentation of tourism businesses. Moreover, SNP regression performs superior to the traditional bivariate probit model, suggesting that the model developed in this research can provide comprehensive results for policy implications.

机译：全球化使许多国家经历了显着的放缓，因此，旅游业发展成为刺激经济的主要政策。对休闲活动的需求进行调查对于发展具有健全政策的旅游业是必要的。这项研究采用人口统计数据来分配影响参与决策的因素，并利用半非参数（SNP）回归分析有关国内和国际旅行的家庭决策。通过将参数成分与非参数成分相结合，SNP方法可通过放松分布假设来提高参与决策模型的灵活性。这项研究的结果表明，国内和国际旅行的决策是共同决定的。收入，资本收益率，年龄和受教育程度等各种因素对旅行类型具有决定性作用，表明了旅游业务的市场细分。此外，SNP回归的性能优于传统的双变量概率模型，这表明本研究开发的模型可以为政策含义提供全面的结果。

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来源
《The Singapore economic review》 |2019年第1期|191-211|共21页
作者
Yeh Chia-Yu; Liu Kang Ernest;
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作者单位

Natl Chi Nan Univ, Dept Econ, 1 Daxue Rd, Nantou, Taiwan;

Natl Taiwan Univ, Dept Agr Econ, 1,Sect 4,Roosevelt Rd, Taipei 10617, Taiwan|Natl Chung Cheng Univ, Dept Econ, 168,Sect 1,Daxue Rd, Chiayi 62102, Taiwan;

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正文语种 eng
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关键词
Household participation decision; semi-nonparametric regression; bivariate probit model; domestic trip; international trip; Taiwan;

机译：家庭参与决策;半参数回归;双变量概率模型;国内旅行;国际旅行;台湾;

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1. A simultaneous model of household activity participation and trip chain generation [J] . Thomas F. Golob Transportation Research Part B: Methodological . 2000,第5期

机译：家庭活动参与和旅行链生成的同时模型
2. MODELLING WORK-TRIP MODE CHOICE DECISIONS IN TWO-WORKER HOUSEHOLDS [J] . DANIEL A. BADOE Transportation planning and technology . 2002,第1期

机译：在两个工作人员家庭中对工作触发模式选择决策进行建模
3. Application of logistic regression models to assess household financial decisions regarding debt [J] . Agnieszka Strzelecka, Agnieszka Kurdy?-Kujawska, Danuta Zawadzka Procedia Computer Science . 2020,第5期

机译：逻辑回归模型在债务中评估家庭财务决策的应用
4. A Structural Equation Model to Analyze Interrelationship between Activity Participation and Trip-chaining of Nuclear Household [C] . YANG Min, LI Dan, WANG Wei International Conference on Civil Engineering, Architecture and Building Materials . 2012

机译：一种结构方程模型，分析活动参与与核家庭旅行中的相互关系
5. Household decision making under different levels of trypanosomosis risk: An investigation of factors affecting disease control, labor participation, and household income decisions in rural households of the Gambia [D] . Mugalla, Constance Ileko 2000

机译：在不同水平的锥虫病风险下进行家庭决策：对影响冈比亚农村家庭疾病控制，劳动参与和家庭收入决策的因素的调查
6. A semi-nonparametric Poisson regression model for analyzing motor vehicle crash data [O] . Xin Ye, Ke Wang, Yajie Zou, 2012

机译：用于分析车辆碰撞数据的半非参数泊松回归模型
7. This study seeks to quantify determinants, and costs, of the laborforce participation of married women. We use demographic and earnings data from the Health and Retirement Study. The earnings data constitute an unusually long panel but have the defect of lacking corresponding reports on work hours. By using a highly structured model and concentrating on the participation margin, we nevertheless feel that we can make substantial progress. Our preliminary regression results imply that married women’s market work disrupts their household consumption slightly less than one half as much as men’s work (relative to complete household retirement). We lay out a course of additional steps that can, we believe, clarify these results even more precisely in the near future. [O] . Christopher House, John Laitner, Dmitriy Stolyarov 100

机译：本研究旨在量化已婚妇女劳动力参与的决定因素和成本。我们使用健康与退休研究中的人口统计和收入数据。收益数据构成一个异常冗长的小组，但缺乏相应的工作时间报告。通过使用高度结构化的模型并专注于参与边际，我们仍然认为我们可以取得实质性进展。我们的初步回归结果表明，已婚妇女的市场工作扰乱了她们的家庭消费，略低于男性工作的一半（相对于完全家庭退休）。我们列出了一系列额外的步骤，我们相信这些步骤可以在不久的将来更准确地阐明这些结果。
8. Participation in International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) Specialists' Meeting on Current Drive and Heating, Garching, West Germany, 13-17 June 1988: Foreign Trip Report. [R] . Smith, G. R. 1988

机译：1988年6月13日至17日参加国际热核实验反应堆（ITER）当前驱动和供暖专家会议，西德，加兴，外国旅行报告。

MODELING HOUSEHOLD PARTICIPATION DECISIONS BETWEEN DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL TRIPS BY SEMI-NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSIONS

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