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首页> 外文期刊>The Singapore economic review >ECONOMIC IMPACT OF SUBSIDY POLICIES TO ELECTRIC VEHICLE SOCIETY IN TOYOHASHI CITY IN JAPAN - A CGE-MODELING APPROACH
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ECONOMIC IMPACT OF SUBSIDY POLICIES TO ELECTRIC VEHICLE SOCIETY IN TOYOHASHI CITY IN JAPAN - A CGE-MODELING APPROACH

机译：日本丰桥市补贴政策对电动汽车社会的经济影响-一种CGE建模方法

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摘要

In this paper, we explore the economic impact of promotion and realization of an electric vehicle society (EVS). More concretely, this paper emphasizes a computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling approach to evaluate the following issues: economic impacts of subsidies for promotion of an EVS, the possibility of price reductions, industrial structure change toward an EVS, and modal shift occurring toward an EVS. Our simulation results demonstrate that after applying 5-25% up subsidies to five industries, such as electric vehicle (EV) manufacturing, EV transport, solar power, cogeneration and other transport, the total industrial output and city GDP increase. A large growth rate is found in industries where subsidies are introduced alone with non-ferrous metal industry. However, it is interesting that decreasing proportions are found in oil and coal product, mining, heat supply and gasoline vehicle (GV) transport industries. Moreover, all the commodity prices decrease since subsidies are given to some industries. Hence Toyohashi City's economy shows a direction where the demand for conventional vehicles and energy use are decreased, conversely, the demand for EVs and renewable energy are increased illustrating a different life style from the current one. However, it does not mean that the total CO2 emission is decreased. EV society makes some industrial outputs larger. Due to the fact that some industrial outputs are increased, CO2 emissions of EV manufacturing and nonferrous metal are increased more than decreased industries. Thus, introducing 5-25% subsidies to EV manufacturing, EV transport, solar power, cogeneration and other transport can really represent a realistic alternative society to EVS if the total CO2 emission can be reduced. Therefore, we have to think what can make the total CO2 emission reduced.
机译：在本文中，我们探讨了促进和实现电动汽车协会（EVS）的经济影响。更具体地讲，本文强调了一种可计算的一般均衡（CGE）建模方法，用于评估以下问题：促进EVS的补贴的经济影响，价格降低的可能性，向EVS的产业结构变化以及向EVS的模式转变。 EVS。我们的模拟结果表明，在对电动汽车制造，电动汽车运输，太阳能发电，热电联产及其他运输等五个行业应用5-25％的补贴后，工业总产值和城市GDP增长。在有色金属行业单独引入补贴的行业中，增长率很高。然而，有趣的是，在石油和煤炭产品，采矿，供热和汽油车辆（GV）运输行业中所占的比例正在下降。此外，由于对某些行业给予了补贴，所有商品价格均下降了。因此，丰桥市的经济向着减少传统车辆和能源需求的方向发展，相反，对电动汽车和可再生能源的需求增加，说明了与当前不同的生活方式。但是，这并不意味着总的CO2排放量会减少。电动汽车社会使一些工业产出更大。由于增加了一些工业产出，因此，电动汽车制造业和有色金属的二氧化碳排放量增加的幅度大于减少的行业。因此，如果可以减少总的CO2排放量，对电动汽车制造，电动汽车运输，太阳能，热电联产和其他运输方式实行5-25％的补贴，就可以真正代表EVS的现实替代社会。因此，我们必须思考如何减少总的二氧化碳排放量。

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