BALANCING ACT: ADJUSTMENT OF CHINA'S ECONOMY TO SECURE SUSTAINABLE GROWTH

Yutian Shi; Hicks John; Basu P. K.; Sharma Kishor; Bandara Yapa; Murphy Tom

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BALANCING ACT: ADJUSTMENT OF CHINA'S ECONOMY TO SECURE SUSTAINABLE GROWTH

机译：平衡法：调整中国经济以确保可持续增长

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This paper uses income accounting techniques to assess, counterfactually, the implied impact over the last 10 years of a hypothetical government policy to constrain investment growth in order to raise the share of consumption in GDP and to bring about a balance on current account. We find that both target variables are very sensitive to changes in investment and that a policy of careful reform is called for. In the light of this finding, we review Chinese government policy pronouncements and activity with a view to assessing their appropriateness.

机译：本文使用收入核算技术反事实地评估了假设的政府政策在过去10年中的隐含影响，该政策旨在限制投资增长，以提高消费在GDP中的比重并实现经常账户的平衡。我们发现，两个目标变量都对投资变化非常敏感，因此需要采取谨慎的改革政策。根据这一发现，我们评估了中国政府的政策声明和活动，以评估其适当性。

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来源
《The Singapore economic review》 |2017年第5期|1097-1114|共18页
作者
Yutian Shi; Hicks John; Basu P. K.; Sharma Kishor; Bandara Yapa; Murphy Tom;
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作者单位

Jilin Huaqiao Univ Foreign Languages, Sch English Int Business, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China;

Charles Sturt Univ, Sch Accounting & Finance, Panorama Ave, Bathurst, NSW 2795, Australia|Charles Sturt Univ, Inst Land Water & Soc, Bathurst, NSW, Australia;

Charles Sturt Univ, Sch Accounting & Finance, Panorama Ave, Bathurst, NSW 2795, Australia|Charles Sturt Univ, Inst Land Water & Soc, Bathurst, NSW, Australia;

Charles Sturt Univ, Sch Accounting & Finance, Panorama Ave, Bathurst, NSW 2795, Australia|Charles Sturt Univ, Inst Land Water & Soc, Bathurst, NSW, Australia;

Charles Sturt Univ, Sch Accounting & Finance, Panorama Ave, Bathurst, NSW 2795, Australia|Charles Sturt Univ, Inst Land Water & Soc, Bathurst, NSW, Australia;

Charles Sturt Univ, Sch Accounting & Finance, Panorama Ave, Bathurst, NSW 2795, Australia|Charles Sturt Univ, Inst Land Water & Soc, Bathurst, NSW, Australia;

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正文语种 eng
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关键词
China; global financial crisis; export-led growth; consumption-led growth; rebalancing; sustainable growth;

机译：中国;全球金融危机;出口拉动型增长;消费拉动型增长;再平衡;可持续增长;

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BALANCING ACT: ADJUSTMENT OF CHINA'S ECONOMY TO SECURE SUSTAINABLE GROWTH

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