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CENTRIST'S CURSE? AN ELECTORAL COMPETITION MODEL WITH CREDIBILITY CONSTRAINTS

机译:中心的诅咒?具有可信度约束的选举模型

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摘要

I analyze a model of electoral competition in which candidates' need of credibility restricts their policy choice to a subset of the policy space, their ideology set. I focus on three party competition where candidates care about winning and their share of votes. I show that centrist parties are highly disadvantaged compared to leftist and rightist ones losing the election under a wide range of parameters. I also show that centrist parties' winning opportunities increase under a run-off system.
机译:我分析了一种选举竞争模型,其中候选人的可信度要求将他们的政策选择限制为政策空间的一部分,即其意识形态集合。我主要关注三方竞争,其中候选人关注获胜和他们的选票份额。我表明,与在广泛的参数下失去选举的左派和右派政党相比,中间派政党处于极为不利的地位。我还表明,在径流制下,中间派的获胜机会增加。

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