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首页> 外文期刊>Small wars & insurgencies >From warrior regimes to illicit sovereigns: Ulster loyalist paramilitaries and the security implications for Brexit
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From warrior regimes to illicit sovereigns: Ulster loyalist paramilitaries and the security implications for Brexit

机译：从战士制度到非法主权：Ulster Loyalist Aramilities和Brexit的安全影响

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摘要

The United Kingdom's (UK) decision to leave the European Union (EU) has been felt most acutely in Ireland. One group specifically impacted by this decision is Ulster Loyalism. With a historic 'warrior regime' role in defending its community, both from irredentist Irish Nationalism and British government subterfuge, how Loyalism responds to Brexit is uncertain. Historically, Loyalism has promoted political violence to stymie UK strategic objectives in Ireland. Therefore, any attempt to diminish the Union between Great Britain and Northern Ireland raises the prospect of a rejuvenated loyalist terror campaign being directed at those it deems a threat to the loyalist community and their territorial sovereignty in Northern Ireland. In its current 'post-ceasefire' guise, there appears to be no immediate threat of a loyalist return to violence. Yet, with Sea Border and a nascent 'Shared Island' approach enacted by the Irish Government, promoting a regulatory alignment with the EU, Northern Ireland is once again at a crossroads. How Ulster Loyalism responds to such developments then posits a key question for both UK and EU intelligence agencies, on how they respond to any upsurge in loyalist paramilitary violence in a post-Brexit era.
机译：爱尔兰最敏锐的是，英国（英国）决定离开欧洲联盟（欧盟）。一个专门受到这一决定的一组是ulster忠诚主义。在历史悠久的“战士制度”在捍卫其社区中的作用，无论是来自Irredentist爱尔兰民族主义和英国政府的诡计如何，忠诚主义如何应对Brexit是如何不确定的。从历史上看，忠诚主义促进了爱尔兰斯蒂梅英国战略目标的政治暴力。因此，任何削弱英国和北爱尔兰之间的联盟的企图提高了一个恢复活力的忠诚度恐怖活动的前景，旨在指导它认为对北爱尔兰北部的忠诚社区及其领土主权威胁的威胁。在目前的“停火后”幌子中，似乎没有立即威胁忠诚者恢复暴力。然而，海边和爱尔兰政府颁布的新生的“共享岛屿”方法，促进与欧盟的监管一致，北爱尔兰再次在十字路口。 Ulster Loyalism如何应对这种发展，然后为英国和欧盟情报机构提供关键问题，就如何回应Brexit Era后忠诚者准军事暴力的任何高兴。

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