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首页> 外文期刊>Studies in history and philosophy of science >From Sunspots To The Southern Oscillation: Confirming Models Of Large-scale Phenomena In Meteorology
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From Sunspots To The Southern Oscillation: Confirming Models Of Large-scale Phenomena In Meteorology

机译：从黑子到南方涛动：气象学中大规模现象的确认模型

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摘要

The epistemic problem of assessing the support that some evidence confers on a hypothesis is considered using an extended example from the history of meteorology. In this case, and presumably in others, the problem is to develop techniques of data analysis that will link the sort of evidence that can be collected to hypotheses of interest. This problem is solved by applying mathematical tools to structure the data and connect them to the competing hypotheses. I conclude that mathematical innovations provide crucial epistemic links between evidence and theories precisely because the evidence and theories are mathematically described.
机译：使用来自气象历史的扩展示例来考虑评估某些证据对假设提供的支持的认识论问题。在这种情况下，大概在其他情况下，问题在于开发数据分析技术，该技术会将可以收集的证据种类与感兴趣的假设联系起来。通过应用数学工具来结构化数据并将其与竞争假设联系起来，可以解决此问题。我得出结论，正是因为数学上对证据和理论进行了描述，数学创新才在证据和理论之间提供了至关重要的认识论联系。

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