The Great Stagnation: How America Ate All the Low- Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better.

Bill Emmott

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The Great Stagnation: How America Ate All the Low- Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better.

机译：巨大的停滞：美国如何吃掉了现代历史上所有低落的果实，病了，意志（最终）感觉更好。

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Tyler Cowen, an American economist and widely read blogger, is not an optimist, rational though he may be. At least, he is not an optimist in the short or medium terms. Where he and Matt Ridley converge is in the long term: Ridley's book is about the sweep of hundreds, even thousands, of years of human history, while Cowen's is very much about the present day. The Great Stagnation, however, does analyse the current state of the American economy with reference to the past two centuries. His crisp, clear and compel- ling argument is that, although we all like to think that the pace of technological and economic change is faster and more far-reaching than ever before, this is actually untrue. Just because a new version of the iPad or iPhone comes out every year or two does not mean that we are witnessing a productivity revolution, nor indeed does the ubiquity of the Internet, though all of these innovations have combined to make Cowen's book possible, for he has published it solely as an e-book, available at low cost for easy reading on the iPad or Kindle.

机译：美国经济学家，博主广泛阅读的作家泰勒·科恩（Tyler Cowen）也许不是一个乐观主义者，但他很理性。至少，从短期或中期来看，他不是一个乐观主义者。从长远来看，他和Matt Ridley的融合之处在于：Ridley的书讲述了数百年甚至数千年的人类历史，而Cowen的书则是关于当今的。但是，大萧条确实参考了过去两个世纪来分析了美国经济的现状。他的观点清晰，明确和令人信服，尽管我们大家都认为技术和经济变革的步伐比以往任何时候都更快，影响更深，但实际上这是不正确的。仅仅因为iPad或iPhone的新版本每年或两年问世，并不意味着我们正在见证一场生产力革命，而且互联网的普及也没有，尽管所有这些创新相结合使Cowen的书成为可能。他仅将其作为电子书出版，价格低廉，可在iPad或Kindle上轻松阅读。

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《Survival》 |2011年第3期|p.190-191|共2页
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The Great Stagnation: How America Ate All the Low- Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better.

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