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The Korean Nuclear Crisis

机译:朝鲜核危机

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摘要

As the world focuses on Iraq, North Korea is seeking to expand its nuclear arsenal as quickly as possible - perhaps, as North Korean leader Kim Jong-Il sees it, to avoid Saddam Hussein's fate. By summer 2003, barring major technical mishaps, North Korea will be able to extract enough plutonium from spent nuclear fuel for up to half a dozen nuclear weapons, to add to its current suspected stockpile of one or possibly two nuclear weapons. Over the next few years, North Korea could complete facilities capable of producing sufficient plutonium and highly enriched uranium for up to a dozen nuclear weapons annually. As its nuclear weapons arsenal expands, the risk grows that North Korea could afford to consume some material in nuclear tests or even sell it on the black market to raise cash.
机译:随着世界关注伊拉克,北韩正寻求尽快扩大其核武库-也许正像北韩领导人金正日所认为的那样,以避免萨达姆·侯赛因的命运。到2003年夏天,除非出现重大技术事故,否则朝鲜将能够从乏核燃料中提取足够的for,以用于最多六种核武器,从而使朝鲜目前的可疑储备增加一到两个核武器。在接下来的几年中,朝鲜将完成能够生产足够sufficient和高浓缩铀的设施,每年可生产多达十二枚核武器。随着其核武器库的扩大,北朝鲜有能力承受在核试验中消耗一些材料甚至在黑市上出售该材料以筹集现金的风险,这一风险在增加。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Survival》 |2003年第1期|p.7-24|共18页
  • 作者

    Gary Samore;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 军事;
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