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Building the New Iraq: The Role of Intervening Forces

机译：建设新伊拉克：干预部队的作用

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British and American military forces will find occupying Iraq more difficult than conquering it. Now that Saddam is gone, soldiers must help refugees and the displaced, restore Iraq's battered infrastructure and otherwise heal the ravages of war. But intervening soldiers will have to be more than well-armed aid workers. They will also need to help the new Iraq become democratic and transform its military forces. In addition, Iraq's new leaders (whoever they turn out to be) must be convinced not to develop weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and to seek peace with the country's neighbours. This agenda is ambitious and is likely to encounter numerous obstacles. Coalition forces must reform Iraq's military from top to bottom and, in the interim, secure Iraq from domestic strife. Convincing future leaders to disarm will not be simple either. Iraq's WMD programmes are not solely creatures of Saddam: they also stem from Iraq's strategic weakness and the weapons' popularity in military circles. Democracy will prove hard to build in Iraq, which has little tradition of power-sharing and has a fragmented opposition. Iraq also must survive in a rough neighbourhood. Turkey, Iran and Syria have often meddled in Iraq, and they may do so again if a power vacuum develops. Although many of these challenges are political and diplomatic, military forces will bear the brunt of any failure.
机译：英军和美军将发现占领伊拉克比征服其国更加困难。现在，萨达姆走了，士兵们必须帮助难民和流离失所者，恢复伊拉克饱受摧残的基础设施，否则就可以治愈战争的破坏。但是介入的士兵将不仅是装备精良的援助人员。他们还将需要帮助新伊拉克实现民主并转变其军事力量。此外，必须说服伊拉克的新领导人（无论他们是谁）不要发展大规模杀伤性武器（WMD）并寻求与该国邻国的和平。该议程雄心勃勃，可能会遇到许多障碍。联军必须从上至下改革伊拉克军队，并在此期间确保伊拉克免于国内冲突。说服未来的领导人解除武装也不是一件容易的事。伊拉克的大规模杀伤性武器计划不仅是萨达姆的产物，还源于伊拉克的战略弱点和武器在军事界的普及。民主将很难在伊拉克建立，因为伊拉克几乎没有权力共享的传统，反对派也支离破碎。伊拉克还必须在一个粗糙的社区中生存。土耳其，伊朗和叙利亚经常干预伊拉克，如果出现权力真空，它们可能会再次干预。尽管这些挑战中有许多是政治上和外交上的挑战，但军事力量将首当其冲。

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  • 来源
    《Survival》 |2003年第2期|p.57-71|共15页
  • 作者

    Daniel L. Byman;

  • 作者单位

    Security Studies Program at Georgetown University;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 军事;
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