A holistic approach to strategic foresight: A foresight support system for the German Federal Armed Forces

Durst Carolin; Durst Michael; Kolonko Thomas; Neef Andreas; Greif Florian

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A holistic approach to strategic foresight: A foresight support system for the German Federal Armed Forces

机译：战略远景的整体方法：德国联邦武装部队的远景支持系统

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Companies increasingly face a dynamic environment, where unexpected change is the norm rather than the exception. Strategic foresight uses a variety of methods to assess possible future events. Combining different foresight methods and integrating expert opinions transform the strategic foresight process into a powerful but major undertaking. IT systems can assist with the growing complexity of strategic foresight methods. Currently, specialized IT systems can support various strategic foresight methods and foresight activities, but these are generally focused on isolated applications rather than providing a holistic solution.

机译：公司越来越多地面临一个动态的环境，在这种环境中，意料之外的变化是规范而不是例外。战略预见使用各种方法来评估可能的未来事件。结合不同的预见方法和专家意见将战略预见过程转变为一项强大而重要的任务。 IT系统可以帮助提高战略预见方法的复杂性。当前，专门的IT系统可以支持各种战略性的预见方法和预见活动，但是这些方法通常集中在隔离的应用程序上，而不是提供整体解决方案。

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来源
《Technological forecasting and social change》 |2015年第8期|91-104|共14页
作者
Durst Carolin; Durst Michael; Kolonko Thomas; Neef Andreas; Greif Florian;
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作者单位

Univ Erlangen Nurnberg, Inst Informat Syst, D-90403 Nurnberg, Germany;

FOM Univ Appl Sci, Nurnberg, Germany|ITONICS GmbH, Nurnberg, Germany;

German Fed Armed Forces, Planning Div, Berlin, Germany;

Zpunkt GmbH, Cologne, Germany;

ITONICS GmbH, Nurnberg, Germany;

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收录信息美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类
关键词
Foresight support system; Foresight process; Foresight methods; Web-based collaboration; Software development;

机译：预见支持系统;预见过程;预见方法;基于Web的协作;软件开发;

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1. Foresight support systems: The future role of ICT for foresight [J] . von der Gracht Heiko A., Banuls Victor A., Turoff Murray, Technological forecasting and social change . 2015,第auga期

机译：预见支持系统：ICT在预见方面的未来作用
2. Foresight support systems to facilitate regional innovations: A conceptualization case for a German logistics cluster [J] . Keller Jonas, Markmann Christoph, von der Gracht Heiko A. Technological forecasting and social change . 2015,第auga期

机译：促进区域创新的前瞻性支持系统：德国物流集群的概念化案例
3. Six foresight frames: Classifying policy foresight processes in foresight systems according to perceived unpredictability and pursued change [J] . Minkkinen Matti, Auffermann Burkhard, Ahokas Ira Technological forecasting and social change . 2019,第Deca期

机译：六个预见框架：根据感知的不可预测性和追求的变化对预见系统中的策略预见过程进行分类
4. An HLA-based Distributed Proving Ground to support the German Federal Armed Forces' Procurement Process [C] . K. Pixius, D. Groenniger, U. Krosta, Simulation Interoperability Workshop . 2005

机译：基于HLA的分布式证明场，支持德国联邦武装部队的采购过程
5. Foresight, uncertainty, and force development: Two case studies of the United States military. [D] . Snyder, Ian Matt. 1999

机译：前瞻性，不确定性和部队发展：美国军事的两个案例研究。
6. Strategic Foresight in the Federal Government: A Survey of MethodsResources and Institutional Arrangements [O] . Joseph M. Greenblott, Thomas O’Farrell, Robert Olson, -1

机译：联邦政府的战略远见：方法概述资源和机构安排
7. Introduction to foresight and foresight processes in practice:Note for the PhD course Strategic Foresight in Engineering [O] . Andersen Per Dannemand, Rasmussen Birgitte 2014

机译：实践中的远见和远见过程简介：博士课程工程战略前瞻的注意事项

A holistic approach to strategic foresight: A foresight support system for the German Federal Armed Forces

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