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Resolving or managing uncertainties for carbon capture and storage: Lessons from historical analogues

机译：解决或管理碳捕集与封存的不确定性：历史类似物的教训

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摘要

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies are often highlighted as a crucial component of future low carbon energy systems in the UK and internationally. Whilst these technologies are now in the demonstration phase world-wide, they are still characterised by a range of technical, economic, policy, social and legal uncertainties. This paper applies a framework for the analysis of these uncertainties that was previously developed by the authors to a historical evidence base. This evidence base comprises nine case studies, each of which focuses on a technology that is partly analogous to CCS. The paper's analysis of these case studies examines the conditions under which the uncertainties concerned have been at least partly resolved, and what lessons can be drawn for CCS. The paper then uses the case study evidence to discuss linkages between the uncertainties in the analysis framework, and how these linkages differ from those that were originally expected. Finally, the paper draws conclusions for the methodological approach that has been used and for strategies to develop and deploy CCS technologies.
机译：碳捕集与封存（CCS）技术通常被强调为英国和国际上未来低碳能源系统的重要组成部分。尽管这些技术目前在世界范围内处于示范阶段，但它们仍然具有一系列技术，经济，政策，社会和法律方面的不确定性。本文采用了一个框架来分析这些不确定性，该框架先前是由作者在历史证据基础上开发的。该证据基础包括九个案例研究，每个案例研究都侧重于部分类似于CCS的技术。本文对这些案例研究的分析考察了至少可以部分解决相关不确定性的条件，以及可以为CCS吸取哪些教训。然后，本文使用案例研究证据来讨论分析框架中不确定性之间的联系，以及这些联系与最初预期的区别。最后，本文对已使用的方法论方法以及开发和部署CCS技术的策略得出结论。

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