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Driving forces of technological change: The relation between population growth and technological innovation Analysis of the optimal interaction across countries

机译:技术变革的驱动力:人口增长与技术创新之间的关系国家间最佳互动关系分析

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摘要

Population growth is one of the major problems facing the world today because it affects the patterns of sustainable economic growth. The economic phenomenon to be explained in this study is the relation between population growth and technological outputs (patents), focusing on OECD countries, in order to analyze the range of population growth rates favorable to support higher technological output, ceteris paribus. The study seems to show the existence of an inverted-U shaped curve between population growth rate and patents, with an optimal intermediate area in which population growth rates tend to be associated to higher technological outputs. The public policy consequences of this vital relation are that, on average, it is difficult to support an optimal level of technological performance with both a lowegative and a high (higher than 1%) population growth rate-annual % in advanced nations. A main consequence is that the estimated relationship of technological outputs vs. population growth is likely to be affected by decreasing returns of technological innovation to population growth, because a higher population might decrease research productivity, which is sensitive to the relation between income per capita and population growth.
机译:人口增长是当今世界面临的主要问题之一,因为它影响着可持续经济增长的方式。在本研究中要解释的经济现象是人口增长与技术产出(专利)之间的关系,重点是经合组织国家,以分析有利于支持较高技术产出的人口增长范围,即“小鸡”。该研究似乎表明,人口增长率与专利之间存在倒U形曲线,并且存在一个最佳的中间区域,人口增长率往往与较高的技术产出相关。这种重要关系的公共政策后果是,平均而言,很难以低/负和高(高于1%)的人口增长率(年均%)支持最佳的技术绩效水平。一个主要的结果是,技术创新对人口增长的影响可能会受到技术产出与人口增长之间关系的估计影响,因为较高的人口数量可能会降低研究生产率,这对人均收入与人均收入之间的关系很敏感。人口增长。

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