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Heading towards a multimodal city of the future? Multi-stakeholder scenarios for urban mobility

机译：走向未来的多式联运城市？城市交通的多方利益相关者方案

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摘要

In redesigning city infrastructure to become sustainable and future-oriented, critical city subsystems, such as the urban mobility system, present a serious challenge. In order to avoid regime stalemates and path dependency, substantial changes to the urban mobility systems are required to limit economic, ecological, population and institutional constraints. We argue that the socio-technical system of multimodal mobility has the potential to solve some of today's urban mobility challenges. Multimodal mobility combines both private and public transport modes, thereby capitalizing on the benefits of various systems. Realizing that mobility systems are non-monolithic and transitions require interdisciplinary analyses, we adopt a multi-level perspective with actors across different fields. This paper aims to guide cities in developing a long-term future vision of urban mobility systems in Germany while drawing on considerations of transition theory. Our comprehensive approach, conceptualized through a strategic issue management framework, draws on empirical evidence from three parallel Delphi studies and several focus group workshops to present strategic implications to firms, public authorities, and customers. Among others, the strategy agenda for stakeholders must coordinate efforts to utilize system strengths, advance intelligent transport systems, diversify the portfolio of public and private financing, change business models, and create a renaissance of civil participation.
机译：在重新设计城市基础设施以使其成为可持续发展和面向未来的过程中，关键的城市子系统（例如城市交通系统）提出了严峻的挑战。为了避免政权僵局和路径依赖，需要对城市交通系统进行重大改变，以限制经济，生态，人口和制度约束。我们认为，多式联运的社会技术系统有可能解决当今一些城市交通挑战。多式联运将私人和公共交通模式结合在一起，从而利用各种系统的优势。意识到出行系统不是整体的，并且过渡需要跨学科的分析，因此我们采用了多层次的观点，涉及跨领域的参与者。本文旨在基于过渡理论的考虑，指导城市发展德国城市交通系统的长期远景。我们通过战略问题管理框架概念化的综合方法，借鉴了来自三个并行的Delphi研究和几个焦点小组研讨会的经验证据，以向企业，公共机构和客户展示战略意义。除其他外，利益相关者的战略议程必须协调努力，以利用系统优势，发展智能交通系统，使公共和私人融资组合多样化，改变商业模式并重振公民参与。

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