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Adoption dynamics of increasing-return technologies in systemic contexts

机译：系统背景下收益递增技术的采用动态

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摘要

Many systemic, complex technologies have been suggested to exhibit increasing returns to adoption, whereby the initial increase in adoption leads to increasing experience with the technology, which drives technological improvements and use, subsequently leading to further adoption. In addition, in the systemic context, mimetic behavior may lend support to increasing returns as technology adoption is witnessed among other agents in the systemic context. Finally, inter-dependencies in the systemic context also sensitize the adoption behavior to fundamental changes in technology provisioning, and this may lend support for the increasing returns type of dynamics in adoption. Our empirical study examines the dynamics of organizational technology adoption when technology is provisioned by organizations in another sub-system in a systemic context. We hypothesize that innovation, imitation, and technological change effects are present in creating increasing returns in the systemic context. Our empirical setting considers 24 technologies represented by 2282 data points in the computer industry. Our results provide support for our prediction that imitation effects are present in creating increasing returns to adoption. We further discuss the managerial and research implications of our results.
机译：已经提出许多系统的，复杂的技术展现出越来越高的采用率，由此，采用率的最初提高导致该技术的经验增加，从而推动了技术的改进和使用，进而导致了进一步的采用。此外，在系统环境中，模仿行为可能会为增加回报提供支持，因为在系统环境中其他代理人之间见证了技术的采用。最后，系统环境中的相互依赖关系也使采用行为对技术供应的根本变化敏感，这可能会为采用过程中不断增加的收益回报类型提供支持。我们的实证研究检验了组织在系统环境中由另一个子系统中的组织提供技术时组织技术采用的动态。我们假设，创新，模仿和技术变革的影响存在于在系统环境下创造越来越高的回报的过程中。我们的经验设置考虑了计算机行业中以2282个数据点表示的24种技术。我们的结果为我们的预测提供了支持，即模仿效应会在增加采用率方面带来回报。我们将进一步讨论结果的管理和研究意义。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Technological forecasting and social change》 |2013年第6期|1140-1146|共7页
  • 作者

    Saku J. Makinen; Juho Kanniainen; Ozgur Dedehayir;

  • 作者单位

    CITER Center for Innovation and Technology Research, Department of Industrial Management, Tampere University of Technology. PO Box 541, FI-33101 Tampere, Finland;

    CITER Center for Innovation and Technology Research, Department of Industrial Management, Tampere University of Technology. PO Box 541, FI-33101 Tampere, Finland;

    CITER Center for Innovation and Technology Research, Department of Industrial Management, Tampere University of Technology. PO Box 541, FI-33101 Tampere, Finland;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Technology diffusion; Adoption dynamics; Technology systems; Increasing returns;

    机译：技术传播;采用动态;技术系统;收益增加;

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