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首页> 外文期刊>Technological forecasting and social change >Is the transport system becoming ubiquitous? Socio-technical roadmapping as a tool for integrating the development of transport policies and intelligent transport systems and services in Finland
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Is the transport system becoming ubiquitous? Socio-technical roadmapping as a tool for integrating the development of transport policies and intelligent transport systems and services in Finland

机译：运输系统正在普及吗？社会技术路线图是整合芬兰交通政策与智能交通系统及服务发展的工具

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摘要

This paper examines the main development characteristics within the transport system as we are approaching the ubiquitous phase of the information society. Particularly the challenges in designing transport policies on a rapidly evolving technological frontier are emphasised. The theoretical background of the paper stems from policy assessment as well as futures studies, especially from technology roadmapping. The paper presents a socio-technical roadmapping method as a tool to integrate the technology developments better with societal developments and transport policy design. The method is tested with a Finnish case study, which provides three thematic, complementary roadmaps of the potential transport system technology services of the future. The roadmaps illustrate what kind of technologies, services, actors and related policy relevant knowledge is needed in satisfying the demands of transport policy development in the future's ubiquitous society. The case study reveals several changes in the transport system: pluralised number of actor roles and actor networks in the system, emergence of a new kind of business and service layer because of the new dynamic inter-linkages between the actors, and further, possibility to capture the service layer with the concept of "technology service". The changes require also re-conceptualisation of knowledge production to support transport policies. In conclusion, the socio-technical roadmapping holds great potentials as a tool for aligning technology development with transport policy development.
机译：当我们接近信息社会无处不在的阶段时，本文研究了运输系统内的主要发展特征。特别强调了在迅速发展的技术前沿上设计运输政策所面临的挑战。本文的理论背景来自政策评估和期货研究，尤其是技术路线图。本文提出了一种社会技术路线图方法，作为一种将技术发展与社会发展和交通政策设计更好地整合在一起的工具。芬兰的案例研究对该方法进行了测试，该案例研究提供了三个主题性的，互补的路线图，这些路线图是未来潜在的运输系统技术服务的补充。路线图说明了在满足未来无处不在的社会中交通政策制定需求时需要什么样的技术，服务，参与者和相关的政策相关知识。案例研究揭示了传输系统中的一些变化：系统中参与者角色和参与者网络的数量众多，由于参与者之间新的动态相互联系而出现了一种新型的业务和服务层，并且进一步可能以“技术服务”的概念捕获服务层。这些变化还要求对知识生产进行重新概念化，以支持运输政策。总之，社会技术路线图具有巨大的潜力，可以作为使技术发展与运输政策发展保持一致的工具。

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