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DRAMs, fiber and energy compared with three models of market penetration

机译:DRAM,光纤和能源与三种市场渗透率比较

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摘要

When a new technology is introduced in the market, this technology generally follows an S-shaped curve, especially if measured on a relative (market share) basis. Marchetti and Nakicenovic and Norton and Bass have modeled the multivariant case of various technologies introduced at different times. A new, simple and flexible model has been proposed based on potential penetration. Potential penetration is penetration on the assumption that no other new technology will enter the market.
机译:当市场上引入新技术时,该技术通常遵循S形曲线,特别是如果以相对(市场份额)为基础进行测量。 Marchetti和Nakicenovic和Norton和Bass对在不同时间引入的各种技术的多变量案例进行了建模。根据潜在的渗透率,提出了一种新的,简单而灵活的模型。潜在的渗透率是假设没有其他新技术进入市场的渗透率。

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