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The price for information about probabilities and its relation with risk and ambiguity

机译：有关概率及其与风险和歧义关系的信息的价格

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摘要

In this article, ambiguity attitude is measured through the maximum price a decision maker is willing to pay to know the probability of an event. Two problems are examined in which the decision maker faces an act: in one case, buying information implies playing a lottery, while, in the other case, buying information gives also the option to avoid playing the lottery. In both decision settings, relying on the Choquet expected utility model, we study how the decision maker's risk and ambiguity attitudes affect the reservation price for ambiguity resolution. These effects are analyzed for different levels of ambiguity of the act. Operating instructions for the elicitation of the reservation price for ambiguity resolution in an experimental setting are provided at the end of the article.
机译：在本文中，歧义态度是通过决策者愿意为了解事件的可能性而愿意支付的最高价格来衡量的。研究了两个问题，决策者面临着一个行为：在一种情况下，购买信息意味着玩彩票，而在另一种情况下，购买信息也提供了避免玩彩票的选择。在这两种决策环境中，我们都基于Choquet预期效用模型研究决策者的风险和歧义态度如何影响歧义解决方案的保留价格。针对行为的不同歧义程度分析了这些影响。本文末尾提供了在实验环境中得出保留价格以解决歧义解决方案的操作说明。

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