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Combining strength and uncertainty for preferences in the graph model for conflict resolution with multiple decision makers

机译：将图模型中的偏好的强度和不确定性相结合，以解决多个决策者的冲突

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摘要

A hybrid preference framework isproposed for strategic conflict analysis to integrate preference strength and preference uncertainty into the paradigm of the graph model for conflict resolution (GMCR) under multiple decision makers. This structure offers decision makers a more flexible mechanism for preference expression, which can include strong or mild preference of one state or scenario over another, as well as equal preference. In addition, preference between two states can be uncertain. The result is a preference framework that is more general than existing models which consider preference strength and preference uncertainty separately. Within the hybrid preference structure, four kinds of stability are defined as solution concepts and a post-stability analysis, called status quo analysis, which can be used to track the evolution of a given conflict. Algorithms are provided for implementing the key inputs of stability analysis and status quo analysis within the extended preference structure. The new stability concepts under the hybrid preference structure can be used to model complex strategic conflicts arising in practical applications, and can provide new insights for the conflicts. The method is illustrated using the conflict over proposed bulk water exports from Lake Gisborne in Newfoundland, Canada.
机译：提出了一种混合偏好框架用于战略冲突分析，以将偏好强度和偏好不确定性整合到多个决策者下的解决冲突图模型（GMCR）的范例中。这种结构为决策者提供了一种更灵活的偏好表达机制，其中可以包括一种状态或场景相对于另一种状态的强烈或温和偏好，以及同等的偏好。另外，两个状态之间的偏好可能不确定。结果是，偏好框架比分别考虑偏好强度和偏好不确定性的现有模型更为通用。在混合偏好结构中，定义了四种稳定性作为解决方案概念和称为状态分析的后稳定性分析，可用于跟踪给定冲突的演变。提供了用于在扩展的偏好结构内实现稳定性分析和现状分析的关键输入的算法。混合偏好结构下的新稳定性概念可用于对实际应用中出现的复杂战略冲突进行建模，并为冲突提供新的见解。用加拿大纽芬兰的吉斯伯恩湖拟议的散装水出口冲突来说明这种方法。

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