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Estimation of interregional rail passengers' valuations for their desired departure times

机译:估计区别铁路乘客对其所需出发时间的估值

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摘要

Valuations for various attributes of the transport supply are key parameters in travel demand forecast models and cost-benefit analyses. In the case of interregional rail travel, such attributes are mostly travel time, departure/ arrival time, and comfort/service levels. Although the valuations for travel time savings and comfort levels are well documented, literature concerning how much passengers are willing to pay to obtain the departure/arrival time that best suits their needs remains scarce. We present in this paper a new study that estimates passenger valuations for reduction of departure time displacement (also called schedule delay) through common adaptation of the scheduling model. Our goal is twofold: first, better understand how travel scheduling is influenced by socioeconomic backgrounds and trip characteristics; second, provide detailed figures that can be used to improve travel demand forecasts and cost-benefit analyses. To achieve this, we conducted a stated preference survey on several Swedish rail routes and determined the valuations for departure time scheduling as willingness to pay and time multipliers. The figures obtained show that departure time flexibility greatly depends on trip characteristics and travellers? socio-economic background. In addition, the comparison of our figures with previous literature highlights the need to establish a standardised method to measure and use these valuations. Finally, we succeeded in providing valuations that can be used with care as approximations in demand modelling and cost benefit analyses in the context of interregional rail travel.
机译:运输供应各种属性的估值是旅行需求预测模型和成本效益分析的关键参数。在区域间铁路旅行的情况下,这种属性主要是旅行时间,出发/到达时间和舒适/服务水平。虽然旅行时间储蓄和舒适程度的估值有很好的记录,文献有关乘客愿意支付多少乘客,以获得最适合其需求的出发/到达时间仍然稀缺。我们在本文中展示了一个新的研究,估计了通过调度模型的共同适应来减少出发时间位移(也称为日程延迟)的乘客估值。我们的目标是双重:首先,更好地了解旅游调度是如何受到社会经济背景和旅行特征的影响;其次,提供可用于改善旅行需求预测和成本效益分析的详细数据。为实现这一目标,我们对几个瑞典轨道路线进行了一项规定的偏好调查,并确定了出发时间调度作为支付和时间乘数的愿意的估值。获得的数字表明,出发时间灵活性大大取决于旅行特征和旅行者吗?社会经济背景。此外,我们与先前文献的数据的比较突出了建立标准化方法来测量和使用这些估值的必要性。最后,我们成功提供了在区域间铁路行程背景下的需求建模和成本效益分析的近似值。

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