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A random utility model for park & carsharing services and the pure preference for electric vehicles

机译:用于公园和汽车共享服务的随机实用新型,以及对电动汽车的纯粹偏爱

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摘要

Most of the existing Carsharing business models mainly rely on gasoline vehicles and diesel vehicles, but in recent years there has been a significant increase in hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) and a resurgence in electric vehicles (EVs). Within this framework, this paper investigates and models the choice to switch from a private car trip to a carsharing service available in peripheral parks as well as the propensity to choose an electric vehicle for such a service. In particular, three issues are addressed: (i) investigating and modelling the propensity to choose carsharing as a transport alternative within a neighbourhood residential carsharing business model; (ii) estimating the effect of also having an EV option available; (iii) measuring the "pure preference", if any, in using electric vehicles over traditional ones, in a context excluding factors that may bias such users preference (e.g. purchase price, energy costs, recharging facilities etc). The analyses are based on a stated preferences survey undertaken on 600 car drivers entering the city centre of Salerno (Southern Italy), and on the estimation of a binomial Logit model with serial correlation. Results allow an interpretation of the main determinants of the short-term choice of carsharing services (i.e. without any car-ownership changes), give general behavioural insights, make it possible to quantify the "pure preference" for EV and the demand elasticity with regard to different pricing strategies of the carsharing services. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:现有的大多数汽车共享业务模型主要依赖于汽油车和柴油车,但近年来,混合动力电动汽车(HEV)显着增加,而电动汽车(EV)则回潮。在此框架内,本文研究并建模了从私人汽车旅行转换为周边公园提供的汽车共享服务的选择,以及为此类服务选择电动汽车的倾向。尤其要解决三个问题:(i)调查和建模选择邻里居民汽车共享业务模型中的汽车共享作为运输替代方案的倾向; (ii)估算还提供电动汽车选项的效果; (iii)在排除可能偏向用户偏爱的因素(例如购买价格,能源成本,充电设施等)的背景下,衡量使用电动汽车优于传统汽车的“纯粹偏好”。该分析基于对进入萨勒诺(意大利南部)市中心的600名汽车驾驶员进行的既定偏好调查,以及对具有序列相关性的二项式Logit模型的估计。结果可以解释短期选择汽车共享服务的主要决定因素(即,没有任何汽车所有权变化),提供一般的行为见解,可以量化电动汽车的“纯偏好”和需求弹性。汽车共享服务的不同定价策略。 (C)2016 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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