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Forecasting road traffic conditions using a context-based random forest algorithm

机译:使用基于上下文的随机森林算法预测道路交通状况

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With the ability to accurately forecast road traffic conditions several hours, days and even months ahead of time, both travellers and network managers can take pro-active measures to minimise congestion, saving time, money and emissions. This study evaluates a previously developed random forest algorithm, RoadCast, which was designed to achieve this task. RoadCast incorporates contexts using machine learning to forecast more accurately contexts such as public holidays, sporting events and school term dates. This paper evaluates the potential of RoadCast as a traffic forecasting algorithm for use in Intelligent Transport System applications. Tests are undertaken using a number of different forecast horizons and varying amounts of training data, and an implementation procedure is recommended.
机译:凭借能够提前数小时,数天甚至数月准确预测道路交通状况的能力,旅行者和网络管理员都可以采取积极措施以最大程度地减少交通拥堵,节省时间,金钱和排放。这项研究评估了以前开发的随机森林算法RoadCast,该算法旨在实现此任务。 RoadCast结合了使用机器学习的上下文,可以更准确地预测诸如公众假期,体育赛事和学校开学日期之类的上下文。本文评估了RoadCast作为交通预测算法在智能交通系统应用中使用的潜力。使用许多不同的预测范围和不同数量的培训数据进行测试,并建议实施程序。

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