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The association between transit access and auto ownership: evidence from Guangzhou, China

机译：过境与汽车所有权之间的关联：来自中国广州的证据

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摘要

In many developing countries, massive investment in transit infrastructure is concurrent with the proliferation of automobiles. Planners expect that investment can slow the growth of auto ownership. However, few studies have examined the relationships between transit access and auto ownership in developing countries, whereas research in developed countries offers mixed findings and the outcomes may not be applicable to developing countries. This study employs a random effect ordered probit model on data collected from Guangzhou residents in 2011-2012. We find that transit access is negatively associated with auto ownership, after controlling for demographics and other built environment variables. This result suggests that, although income is the dominant driver for auto ownership in growing developing countries, transit investment is a promising strategy to slow the growth of auto ownership. This study also highlights the importance of addressing spatial dependency in clustered data.
机译：在许多发展中国家，对交通基础设施的大量投资与汽车的普及同时发生。规划者预计投资会减慢汽车拥有量的增长。但是，很少有研究检查发展中国家的过境通道和汽车拥有权之间的关系，而发达国家的研究则有不同的发现，其结果可能不适用于发展中国家。本研究对2011-2012年从广州居民处收集的数据采用随机效应有序概率模型。我们发现，在控制了人口统计特征和其他内置环境变量之后，公交系统的访问权与汽车所有权负相关。这一结果表明，尽管收入是增长中发展中国家汽车所有权的主要驱动力，但过境投资是减缓汽车所有权增长的有前途的战略。这项研究还强调了解决集群数据中空间依赖性的重要性。

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  • 来源
    《Transportation planning and technology》 |2016年第3期|269-283|共15页
  • 作者

    Huang Xiaoyan; Cao Xiaoshu; Cao Jason;

  • 作者单位

    Shaanxi Normal Univ, Inst Transport Geog & Spatial Planning, Ctr Land Resources Res Northwest China, Changan Campus 620,West Changan Ave, Xian 710119, Peoples R China;

    Shaanxi Normal Univ, Inst Transport Geog & Spatial Planning, Ctr Land Resources Res Northwest China, Changan Campus 620,West Changan Ave, Xian 710119, Peoples R China|Sun Yat Sen Univ, Dept Urban & Reg Planning, 135 Xingang Xi Rd, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China;

    Univ Minnesota, Humphrey Sch Publ Affairs, 301 19th Ave S, Minneapolis, MN 55455 USA;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Developing countries; travel behavior; transit infrastructure; land use; auto ownership; accessibility; rail transit;

    机译：发展中国家;旅行行为;运输基础设施;土地使用;汽车所有权;可及性;铁路运输;

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