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The simple, efficient, elegant, and effective model ((SEM)-M-3) of land use and transportation

机译：土地使用和运输的简单，高效，优雅和有效的模型（（SEM）-M-3）

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Integrated land use/transportation forecasting models add significant policy and infrastructure alternatives analysis capabilities to the urban planning process. Historically, the financial, time, and staff requirements to develop one of these models has put them beyond the reach of most small- to medium-sized urban areas. The purpose of this paper is to present the large zone economic submodel of (SEM)-M-3, an integrated model - founded upon economic base theory and bid-rent theory - that is reasonably accurate, yet simpler in form, function, and implementation than competing models. The US territory of Guam is used as the case study/proof of concept implementation for this model framework. The submodel presented here was validated against a horizon year with known data for zonal level population and employment totals together with control totals for the island as a whole. The model was able - across two base years and one validation, horizon year - to locate all jobs and a high percentage of the population on each zone on the island.
机译：综合的土地使用/运输预测模型为城市规划过程增加了重要的政策和基础设施替代分析能力。从历史上看，开发这些模型之一的财务，时间和人员要求使它们超出了大多数中小型城市地区的范围。本文的目的是介绍（SEM）-M-3的大区域经济子模型，该模型是基于经济基础理论和投标租金理论而建立的集成模型，该模型相当准确，但形式，功能和结构都更简单。执行比竞争模型。关岛的美国领土被用作该模型框架的案例研究/概念实施的证明。此处提供的子模型已针对地平线年份进行了验证，其中包含有关区域级别人口和就业总数以及整个岛屿的控制总量的已知数据。该模型能够在两个基准年和一个验证期（地平线年）中找到岛上每个区域的所有工作和较高比例的人口。

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