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Decision Support for Airport Strategic Planning

机译：机场战略规划的决策支持

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摘要

Master Planning is currently the dominant approach to airport strategic planning. However, history shows that this approach can often result in costly mistakes. Because there are many stakeholders with conflicting objectives, deep uncertainty about the future, and many potential strategies, planners often narrow their scope by using a single forecast for the future, leaving out alternative strategies, and excluding stakeholders, resulting in a Master Plan that quickly becomes obsolete and may be opposed by some stakeholders. What is needed is a flexible, integrated approach that enables collaboration among stakeholders. Such an approach can be facilitated using a Decision Support System (DSS) that provides a way for decisionmakers and stakeholders to evaluate alternative strategies quickly and easily with respect to their outcomes of interest. We present the conceptual design for a DSS called HARMOS, showing how it meets the high-level requirements for airport strategic planning while addressing the problems associated with Master Planning.
机译：目前，总体规划是机场战略规划的主要方法。但是，历史表明，这种方法通常会导致代价高昂的错误。因为有许多利益相关者的目标相互矛盾，对未来的不确定性很大，并且有许多潜在的策略，所以规划人员通常通过使用对未来的单个预测来缩小范围，而忽略其他策略，并将利益相关者排除在外，从而导致总体规划迅速变得过时，可能会受到某些利益相关者的反对。需要一种灵活，集成的方法，以使利益相关者之间能够进行协作。可以使用决策支持系统（DSS）来简化这种方法，决策支持系统（DSS）为决策者和利益相关者提供了一种方法，可以根据他们感兴趣的结果快速轻松地评估替代策略。我们介绍了称为HARMOS的DSS的概念设计，展示了它如何满足机场战略规划的高层要求，同时解决了与总体规划相关的问题。

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