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Preferences for autonomous and alternative fuel-powered heavy- duty trucks in Germany

机译:德国偏爱自动驾驶和代用燃料动力的重型卡车

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摘要

Germany is by far the largest contributor of greenhouse gas emissions in the European Union but adopted its own climate action plan to achieve greenhouse gas neutrality by 2050. The country's third-largest emitter of greenhouse gas emissions is the transportation sector. As of January 2019, 99.7% of heavy-duty trucks registered in Germany run on diesel while the share of alternative fuel-powered passenger cars increases steadily. Apart from rising emissions, the industry faces a growing shortage of qualified truck drivers. A solution to increasing emissions and the shortage of drivers are autonomous and alternative fuel-powered heavy-duty trucks. We employed a choice-based conjoint analysis with employees from freight companies in Germany to find out how they assess the main attributes of innovative trucks. Our results reveal that the maximum driving range is the most important attribute followed by the refueling/recharging time. Tank-to wheel emissions, on the other hand, was ranked as the least relevant attribute. Moreover, we present customers' preference shares for future heavy-duty trucks until 2035. According to our results, freight companies are generally open to switching from conventional to low emission and (conditionally-) automated heavy-duty trucks, however, a close collaboration between truck manufacturers, customers, infrastructure companies, and policymakers is essential to spur the penetration of autonomous and alternative fuel-powered heavy-duty trucks.
机译:德国是迄今为止欧盟最大的温室气体排放国,但通过了自己的气候行动计划,以在2050年之前实现温室气体的中和。该国第三大温室气体排放国是交通运输部门。截至2019年1月,在德国注册的重型卡车中有99.7%使用柴油运行,而代用燃料的乘用车的份额则稳步增长。除了排放增加之外,该行业还面临合格卡车司机日益短缺的问题。解决排放增加和驾驶员短缺的解决方案是自动驾驶和替代燃料驱动的重型卡车。我们与德国货运公司的员工进行了基于选择的联合分析,以了解他们如何评估创新卡车的主要属性。我们的结果表明,最大行驶距离是最重要的属性,其次是加油/充电时间。另一方面,油箱到车轮的排放被列为最不相关的属性。此外,我们将展示客户对未来重型卡车的偏好份额,直到2035年。根据我们的结果,货运公司通常愿意从传统排放转向低排放和(有条件的)自动重型卡车,但是,密切合作卡车制造商,客户,基础设施公司和政策制定者之间的关系对于刺激自动驾驶和替代燃料驱动的重型卡车的普及至关重要。

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