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The experienced mode choice set and its determinants: Commuting trips in the Netherlands

机译:经验丰富的模式选择集及其决定因素:荷兰的通勤旅行

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摘要

Active modes take up an increasingly important place on the global policy-making agenda. In the Netherlands, a country that is well-known for its high shares of walking and cycling, the government aims at achieving a modal shift among 200,000 commuting car drivers towards using the bicycle. To this end, policy measures need to be introduced. When the aim is to achieve a modal switch over an enduring period of time, it is more relevant to know the likelihood of including or excluding a mode in the mode choice set, compared to choosing a mode for a single trip. Therefore, we investigate the formation of the experienced choice set (set of modes used over a long period of time), where the aim is to identify determinants that influence the inclusion or exclusion of a mode in this set. We estimate discrete choice models, based on survey data from the Netherlands Mobility Panel (MPN) and a complementary survey, where individuals were asked to report the frequency of using certain modes of transport for commuting trips over the course of half a year. This study shows that the experienced choice set for commuting is unimodal for the majority of the individuals, and remains constant over time for most individuals. Reimbursement by the employer for using a certain mode is the most important determinant influencing the experienced choice set, followed by ownership characteristics and urban density. We show that the mode choice set formation depends on more determinants than previously assumed.
机译:积极模式在全球决策议程中占有越来越重要的地位。在以步行和骑自行车的比例较高而闻名的荷兰,政府旨在实现20万通勤汽车驾驶员向使用自行车的方式转变。为此,需要采取政策措施。当目标是在持续的时间段内实现模式切换时,与为单次行程选择模式相比,知道在模式选择集中包含或排除模式的可能性更为重要。因此,我们调查有经验的选择集(长时间使用的模式集)的形成,目的是确定影响该模式中包含或排除模式的决定因素。我们根据荷兰交通专家组(MPN)的调查数据和补充调查估计离散选择模型,在该调查中,个人被要求报告在半年的时间内使用某些交通方式上下班的频率。这项研究表明,对于大多数人来说,有经验的通勤选择集是单峰的,并且对于大多数人而言,随着时间的推移,选择保持不变。雇主使用某种模式的报销是影响有经验的选择集的最重要决定因素,其次是所有权特征和城市密度。我们表明,模式选择集的形成要比先前假设的决定因素更多。

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