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首页> 外文期刊>Transportation Research >Taking the path less travelled: Valuation of denied boarding in crowded public transport systems
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Taking the path less travelled: Valuation of denied boarding in crowded public transport systems

机译：走路不那么旅行：估值被拒绝在拥挤的公共交通系统中登机

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摘要

Many public transport networks worldwide experience high crowding levels. Overcrowding can result in passengers not able to board the first arriving vehicle. We infer how waiting time induced by being denied boarding in crowded public transport systems is valued by passengers, based on observed passenger route choice behaviour. For this purpose, we estimate a revealed preference route choice model based on passenger and vehicle movement data. As denied boarding typically occurs only at specific locations and within strict time bands, whilst its occurrence is notoriously uncertain, we propose additional constraints to generate an appropriate choice set for which observed route choices can be used to estimate denied boarding perceptions. We found that the additional waiting time caused by denied boarding is valued 68% more negatively compared to the initial waiting time. On average, one minute of initial and denied boarding wait time are perceived as 1.62 and 2.72 min on-board an uncrowded vehicle, respectively. Not incorporating this more negative denied boarding wait time valuation can result in an underestimation of the passenger and societal impact of overcrowding in public transport systems. Moreover, it can underestimate the benefits of potential crowding relief measures and as such underestimate the benefit-cost ratio of these measures.
机译：全球许多公共交通网络经历了高挤在一起的水平。过度拥挤可能导致乘客无法登上第一个到达车辆。我们推断如何通过乘客的乘客选择行为来推断出在拥挤的公共交通系统中被拒绝登机的时间。为此目的，我们估计基于乘客和车辆移动数据的揭示偏好路线选择模型。由于拒绝登机通常只发生在特定地点并且在严格的时间段内发生众所周知，因此我们提出了额外的约束来生成适当的选择集，其中观察到的路线选择可用于估计被拒绝的登机感知。我们发现，与初始等候时间相比，被拒绝的登机造成的额外等待时间值得增加68％。平均而言，一分钟的初始和被拒绝的登机等待时间被认为是1.62和2.72 min的载没有空带的车辆。不纳入这种更负面拒绝的登机等待时间估值可能导致低估公共交通系统过度拥挤的乘客和社会影响。此外，它可以低估潜在的拥挤救济措施的好处，并因此低估了这些措施的益处成本比。

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