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首页> 外文期刊>Transportation Research >Comparison of road freight transport trends in Europe. Coupling and decoupling factors from an Input-Output structural decomposition analysis
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Comparison of road freight transport trends in Europe. Coupling and decoupling factors from an Input-Output structural decomposition analysis

机译：欧洲公路货运趋势比较。投入产出结构分解分析中的耦合和解耦因子

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Decoupling road freight transport from economic growth has been acknowledged by the European Union as a key means to improving sustainability. It is therefore important to identify both the coupling and decoupling drivers of road freight transport demand in order to determine possible factors that may contribute to reduce road transport in the future without curbing economic development. This research proposes an Input-Output (10) structural decomposition analysis (SDA) to explain road freight transport in terms of a set of key factors that have strongly influenced road freight demand in recent decades in European countries such as economic growth, economic structure and the evolution of road transport intensity (including improvements in both supply and transport systems). This methodological approach allows us to quantify and compare their contribution in different European countries to either increase or decrease road freight transport demand. The empirical basis for this analysis is a dataset of nine European countries which have 10 tables and road transport data available from 2000 to 2007, comprising data on domestic production, imports and exports as well as tonne-kms for 11 types of commodity classes. The results show that, as a whole, aggregate road transport demand has grown driven mainly by economic activity but this growth has been strongly curbed in some countries by changes in road freight transport intensity and moderately by the dematerialization of the economy. International transport has been also proven to be a key factor driving road freight transport volumes. Moreover, the increased penetration of foreign operators in national haulage markets appears to have reinforced the final decoupling levels observed in some cases. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译：欧盟已将公路货运与经济增长脱钩是提高可持续性的关键手段。因此，重要的是要确定公路货运需求的耦合和解耦驱动因素，以便确定可能的因素，这些因素将来可能会在不抑制经济发展的情况下减少公路运输。这项研究提出了一种投入产出（10）结构分解分析（SDA），以一系列影响欧洲国家近几十年来道路货运需求的关键因素（例如经济增长，经济结构和公路运输强度的演变（包括改善供应和运输系统）。这种方法论方法使我们能够量化和比较它们在欧洲不同国家对增加或减少公路货运需求的贡献。该分析的经验基础是九个欧洲国家的数据集，这些数据具有2000年至2007年期间的10张表和公路运输数据，其中包括11种商品类别的国内生产，进出口和吨公里数据。结果表明，总体而言，公路运输总需求的增长主要受到经济活动的驱动，但是在某些国家，由于公路货运强度的变化以及经济的非物质化，这种增长受到了强烈的抑制。事实证明，国际运输是推动公路货运量增长的关键因素。此外，在某些情况下，外国运营商在国家运输市场的渗透率提高似乎加强了最终的脱钩水平。 （C）2015 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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