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首页> 外文期刊>Transportation Research >Virtual reality simulation game approach to investigate transport adaptive capacity for peak oil planning
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Virtual reality simulation game approach to investigate transport adaptive capacity for peak oil planning

机译：虚拟现实模拟博弈方法研究峰值油计划的运输适应能力

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摘要

The peak and decline of world oil production is an emerging issue for transportation and urban planners. Peak oil from an energy perspective means that there will be progressively less fuel. Our work treats changes in oil supply as a risk to transport activity systems. A virtual reality survey method, based on the sim game concept, has been developed to audit the participant's normal weekly travel activity, and to explore participant's travel adaptive capacity. The travel adaptive capacity assessment (TACA) Sim survey uses avatars, Google Map™, 2D scenes, interactive screens and feedback scores. Travel adaptive capacity is proposed as a measure of long-range resilience of activity systems to fuel supply decline. Mode adaptive potential is proposed as an indicator of the future demand growth for less energy intensive travel. Both adaptation indicators can be used for peak oil vulnerability assessment. A case study was conducted involving 90 participants in Christchurch New Zealand. All of the participants were students, general staff or academics at the University of Canterbury. The adaptive capacity was assessed by both simulated extreme fuel price shock and by asking, "do you have an alternative mode?" without price pressure. The travel adaptive capacity in number of kilometers was 75% under a 5-fold fuel price increase. The mode adaptive potential was 33% cycling, 21% walking and 22% bus. Academics had adaptive capacity of only 1-5% of trips by canceling or carrying out their activity from home compared to 10-18% for students.
机译：对于运输和城市规划者来说，世界石油产量的高峰和下降是一个新兴问题。从能源角度看，峰值油意味着燃料将逐渐减少。我们的工作将石油供应的变化视为运输活动系统的风险。已经开发出一种基于sim游戏概念的虚拟现实调查方法，以审核参与者的正常每周旅行活动，并探索参与者的旅行适应能力。旅行适应能力评估（TACA）Sim调查使用化身，Google Map™，2D场景，交互式屏幕和反馈评分。提出了旅行适应能力，作为活动系统对燃料供应下降的长期恢复能力的一种度量。提出了模式自适应潜力，作为能源消耗较少的未来需求增长的指标。两种适应性指标均可用于峰值石油脆弱性评估。在新西兰克赖斯特彻奇进行了案例研究，涉及90名参与者。所有参与者都是坎特伯雷大学的学生，一般职员或学者。通过模拟的极端燃油价格冲击和询问“您是否有替代模式”来评估自适应能力。没有价格压力。在燃油价格提高5倍的情况下，旅行适应能力（公里数）为75％。模式适应潜力为33％的骑行，21％的步行和22％的公交车。通过取消或在家中进行活动，学者的适应能力仅为旅行的1-5％，而学生为10-18％。

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  • 来源
    《Transportation Research》 |2012年第2期|p.348-367|共20页
  • 作者

    Montira Watcharasukarn; Shannon Page; Susan Krumdieck;

  • 作者单位

    Advanced Energy and Material Systems Lab., Department of Mechanical Engineering, Private Bag 4800, University of Canterbury, Christchurch 80401, New Zealand;

    Advanced Energy and Material Systems Lab., Department of Mechanical Engineering, Private Bag 4800, University of Canterbury, Christchurch 80401, New Zealand Lincoln University, Lincoln, New Zealand;

    Advanced Energy and Material Systems Lab., Department of Mechanical Engineering, Private Bag 4800, University of Canterbury, Christchurch 80401, New Zealand;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    peak oil; travel adaptive capacity; travel survey; vulnerability; risk;

    机译：峰值油旅行适应能力;旅行调查;脆弱性风险;

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