Modelling private car energy demand using a technological car stock model

Hannah Daly; Brian P.O Gallachoir

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Modelling private car energy demand using a technological car stock model

机译：使用技术汽车库存模型对私家车能源需求进行建模

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A technological stock model of private car energy demand is built, using as explanatory variables, fleet structure, the profile of activity, and fleet efficiency. Disaggregating the three variables by vehicle technology and age produces a detailed profile of private car activity and energy consumption, giving accurate energy calculations and allowing detection of the technological drivers of energy consumption. Methods for calculating fleet on-road energy efficiency in terms of an "on-road factor" are developed. The methodology is applied in an Irish case study and results show a 37% increase in private car energy demand between 2000 and 2008, and that driving this increase was a growth in diesel and larger engine activity and the ageing of the fleet.

机译：建立了私家车能源需求的技术库存模型，以解释变量，车队结构，活动情况和车队效率为解释变量。按车辆技术和年龄对这三个变量进行分类，可以得出私人汽车活动和能耗的详细情况，从而可以进行准确的能耗计算，并可以检测能耗的技术驱动因素。开发了根据“道路因素”计算车队道路能源效率的方法。该方法在爱尔兰的一个案例研究中得到了应用，结果表明，2000年至2008年间，私家车的能源需求增长了37％，而推动这一增长的原因是柴油的增长和更大的发动机活动以及车队的老化。

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来源
《Transportation Research》 |2011年第2期|p.93-101|共9页
作者
Hannah Daly; Brian P.O Gallachoir;
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作者单位

Sustainable Energy Research Croup, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Environmental Research Institute,University College Cork, Cork, Ireland;

Sustainable Energy Research Croup, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Environmental Research Institute,University College Cork, Cork, Ireland;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
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关键词
private car ownership; transport energy use; co_2 emissions;

机译：私家车所有权;交通能源使用;CO_2排放;

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Modelling private car energy demand using a technological car stock model

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