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An integrated model system and policy evaluation tool for maximizing mobility under environmental capacity constraints: A case study in Dalian City, China

机译:环境容量约束下最大化流动性的集成模型系统和政策评估工具:以中国大连市为例

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摘要

This paper presents an integrated model system for mobility maximization based on a quantified specification of environmental capacity, and evaluates policy interaction and effectiveness by simulating a number of policy scenarios. The system is designed to specify the maximum level of car ownership and number of trips by private and public modes subject to an environmental capacity constraint defined as the frontier emission under maximum system efficiency. Four types of hypothetical policies (population change, urban sprawl, land-use pattern and network improvement) are designed and the effects of 13 policy scenarios are simulated using data of Dalian City, China. Results reveal that the integrated model system reacts sensitively to policy interventions. The urban sprawl reflected in a changing residential distribution from central to suburban areas is most instrumental from the perspective of pollution alleviation. If the goal is to simultaneously reduce emissions while accommodating mobility, two combinational policy scenarios outperform all others.
机译:本文提出了一个基于量化的环境容量规范的最大化流动性的集成模型系统,并通过模拟许多政策情景来评估政策的互动和有效性。该系统旨在根据环境容量约束(最大系统效率下的边界排放)指定私家车和公共模式的最高拥有汽车数量和出行次数。设计了四种假设的政策(人口变化,城市扩张,土地利用模式和网络改善),并使用中国大连市的数据模拟了13种政策情景的效果。结果表明,集成模型系统对政策干预敏感。从减轻污染的角度来看,反映从中部到郊区的住宅分布变化所反映的城市蔓延最为有效。如果目标是在同时满足交通需求的同时减少排放,那么两种组合政策方案的表现将优于其他所有方案。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Transportation Research》 |2010年第5期|p.263-274|共12页
  • 作者单位

    Urban Planning Group, Faculty of Architecture, Building and Planning, Eindhoven University of Technology, P.O. Box 513, 5600 MB Eindhoven, Netherlands;

    Transportation Engineering Laboratory, Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation, Hiroshima University, 1-5-1 Kagamiyama, Higashi Hiroshima 739-8529, Japan;

    Transportation Engineering Laboratory, Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation, Hiroshima University, 1-5-1 Kagamiyama, Higashi Hiroshima 739-8529, Japan;

    Urban Planning Group, Faculty of Architecture, Building and Planning, Eindhoven University of Technology, P.O. Box 513, 5600 MB Eindhoven, Netherlands;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    mobility maximization; environmental capacity; policy evaluation; integrated model;

    机译:流动性最大化环境容量;政策评估;整合模型;

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