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Elderly travel frequencies and transport mode choices in Greater Rotterdam, the Netherlands

机译：荷兰大鹿特丹的老年人出行频率和运输方式选择

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摘要

Demographic ageing is a key societal challenge in Europe as well as in many other western and non-western societies. A crucial dimension concerns elderly daily mobility patterns. While still partaking fewer and shorter trips than younger generations, today's elderly have been found increasingly (auto)mobile. Although the elderly benefit from the independence, freedom of movement, and social inclusion, concerns may rise regarding the environmental and accessibility impacts of this induced mobility. The present study adds to the expanding literature on elderly mobility, an integrated analysis of the effects of socio-demographic, health, trip, spatial and weather attributes on elderly mobility. Utilizing travel diary data for Greater Rotterdam, The Netherlands, trip frequencies and transport mode choices of the elderly are analysed by means of zero-inflated negative binomial models as well as multinomial logit regression models, and contrasted to the non-elderly subpopulation to explore (dis)similarities. While the results show common determinants, the models also highlight important differences in the magnitude of the estimated coefficients and factors only influencing transport patterns for the elderly. Embedded in the context of an aging population, the empirical findings assist policy-makers and planners in several respects: For transportation plans and programs it is critical to recognize mobility needs of the elderly. As the seniors are becoming increasingly automobile, the results call for strategies to encourage older people to use more physically active and environmentally friendly transport modes such as public transport, walking and cycling.
机译：人口老龄化是欧洲以及许多其他西方和非西方社会的主要社会挑战。一个关键方面涉及老年人的日常出行方式。尽管与年轻一代相比，出行次数更少，更短，但如今，老年人却越来越多地（自动）出行。尽管老年人受益于独立性，行动自由和社会包容性，但人们对于这种流动性对环境和可及性的影响可能会引起关注。本研究增加了关于老年人流动性的文献，对社会人口，健康，出行，空间和天气属性对老年人流动性的影响进行了综合分析。利用荷兰大鹿特丹的旅行日记数据，通过零膨胀负二项式模型和多项式Lo​​git回归模型分析老年人的出行频率和运输方式选择，并与非老年人亚人群进行对比（差异）。虽然结果表明了共同的决定因素，但模型还突出了估计系数和因素的幅度的重要差异，这些系数和因素仅影响老年人的交通方式。在人口老龄化的背景下，实证研究结果在多个方面为决策者和规划者提供了帮助：对于交通运输计划和计划，认识到老年人的出行需求至关重要。随着老年人的汽车越来越多，研究结果要求采取策略，鼓励老年人使用体育锻炼和环境友好的交通方式，例如公共交通，步行和骑自行车。

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  • 来源
    《Transportation》 |2017年第4期|831-852|共22页
  • 作者

    Bocker Lars; van Amen Patrick; Helbich Marco;

  • 作者单位

    Univ Oslo, Dept Sociol & Human Geog, Fac Social Sci, Moltke Moes Vei 31, N-0851 Oslo, Norway;

    Univ Utrecht, Fac Geosci, Dept Human Geog & Spatial Planning, Heidelberglaan 2, NL-3584 CS Utrecht, Netherlands;

    Univ Utrecht, Fac Geosci, Dept Human Geog & Spatial Planning, Heidelberglaan 2, NL-3584 CS Utrecht, Netherlands;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Elderly; Mobility; Transport mode choice; Urban form; Weather; Netherlands;

    机译：老年人;出行;交通方式选择;城市形态;天气;荷兰;

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