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Are Neighbourhoods Self-stabilising? Exploring Endogenous Dynamics

机译:社区是否在自我稳定?探索内生动力学

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This study investigates how neighbourhoods respond when they are upset by transient, exogenous shock(s). Do they quickly revert to their original, stable state, gradually return to this stable state, permanently settle into another stable state, diverge progressively from any steady state, or evince no discernable pattern of response? A self-regulating adjustment process promoting stability appears the norm, based on econometric investigations of multiple, annually measured indicators from census tracts in five US cities. Stability quickly re-established at the original state characterises most of the indicators analysed: rates of tax delinquency, low-weight births, teenage births and home sales volumes. Violent and property crime rates also evince endogenous stability at the original state, but take considerably longer than the other indicators to return to it when the exogenous shock is sizeable. Moreover, this crime adjustment process is considerably slower in neighbourhoods with higher poverty rates.
机译:这项研究调查了邻域在受到短暂的外来冲击而感到不安时的反应。他们是迅速恢复到其原始的稳定状态,逐渐返回到该稳定状态,永久地稳定到另一个稳定状态,与任何稳定状态逐渐偏离还是只是没有明显的响应方式吗?根据对美国五个城市的人口普查数据中多个年度测量指标进行的计量经济学调查,一种促进稳定的自我调节调整过程已成为常态。所分析的大多数指标都具有原始状态下迅速恢复的稳定性:欠税率,低体重儿,少女出生和房屋销售量。暴力犯罪和财产犯罪率也证明了原始状态下的内生稳定,但是当外生冲击相当大时,恢复到该状态所花费的时间比其他指标长得多。此外,在贫困率较高的地区,这种犯罪调整的过程要慢得多。

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