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Econometric Models Of Power Prices: An Approach To Market Monitoring In The Western Us

机译:电价计量模型:美国西部市场监测的一种方法

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摘要

Given the limitations of data and resources available for market monitoring in electricity markets where regional transmission organizations (RTO) do not exist, we argue that econometric models of power prices could provide a useful screening tool for market monitoring. To explore its feasibility, we developed several econometric models of power prices at two major trading hubs in the West: Palo Verde and Mid-Columbia. We show that our models explain a large portion of the variation in power prices in Palo Verde and can establish a benchmark that can be used to identify outlier prices that are potentially the result of anti-competitive behavior.
机译:鉴于在不存在区域传输组织(RTO)的电力市场中可用于市场监测的数据和资源有限,我们认为电价的计量经济学模型可以为市场监测提供有用的筛选工具。为了探讨其可行性,我们在西方的两个主要贸易中心(帕洛佛得角和哥伦比亚中部)开发了几种电价计量经济模型。我们表明,我们的模型可以解释帕洛佛得角电价变化的很大一部分,并且可以建立一个基准,该基准可以用来识别可能是反竞争行为所导致的离群价格。

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