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FUTURISTS PREDICT DECADES OF 'PERSISTENT CONFLICT:' SOME

机译:未来人们对“持续冲突”的预测:

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摘要

If anyone expects some sort of "peace dividend" as we begin to draw down the U.S. military presence in Iraq, any such dividend will probably not materialize during the next 20 to 30 years. True, the U.S. has now been at war for six years, following the September 11 attacks on New York and Washington. But, as the futurists say with near unanimity, the next decades will be ones of "persistent conflict" in which states, non-states and individuals increasingly use violence as a means of achieving their political and ideological objectives. The long-term implications for the U.S. defense industry - and particularly the research-intensive rotorcraft segment - are mixed to bad.
机译:如果有人希望在我们开始削减美国在伊拉克的军事存在时期望某种“和平红利”,那么任何此类红利很可能在未来20至30年内都不会实现。没错,在9月11日对纽约和华盛顿的袭击之后,美国已经战争了六年。但是,正如未来主义者几乎一致说的那样,未来几十年将是“持续冲突”,在这个冲突中,国家,非国家和个人将越来越多地使用暴力作为实现其政治和意识形态目标的手段。对美国国防工业-尤其是研究密集型旋翼飞机领域-的长期影响是不利的。

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